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Challenger TarantoChallenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Nagal vs Kravchenko 2:0: result and our tips

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Sumit NagalATP #265Elo 1722hard 1674
2:0final7:6(4) 6:2
Georgii KravchenkoATP #310Elo 1629hard 1600

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Nagal 17 of 20, Kravchenko 14 of 20 (tour average 63%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Nagal 17 of 20, Kravchenko 14 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost43%

Where the number comes from: market alone 40% → with the players' profiles 43%

Nagal: 3 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sumit Nagal52%
Georgii Kravchenko49%

Elo: S. Nagal 61% · G. Kravchenko 40%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Nagal32%
2:1 S. Nagal20%
2:1 G. Kravchenko19%
2:0 G. Kravchenko29%

First set

Sumit Nagal52%
Georgii Kravchenko49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.558%43%54%
21.551%49%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,353 matches

Games handicap

S. Nagal −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Sumit NagalGeorgii Kravchenko
3Aces0
3Double faults4
69%First serves in63%
81%First-serve points won71%
50%Second-serve points won22%
4/10Break points converted2/2
8/10Service games held6/10
71%Service points won53%
47%Return points won29%
71Total points won53

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. NagalTourG. Kravchenko
Service points won60%62%63%
Return points won40%38%41%
Service games held74%76%76%
Breaks of serve27%24%29%
Aces per service game0.160.33
Double faults per game0.220.19
Sets with a tie-break12%13%
Tie-breaks won6/148/12
Wins in straight sets60%73%
Matches in the sample5038

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sumit Nagal

Georgii Kravchenko

  • 15/10/26LTom Gentzsch#165Challenger Olbia · R163:6 6:3 4:6
  • 13/10/26WLaurent Lokoli#336Challenger Olbia · R326:7 7:5 7:6
  • 12/10/26WDaniel Masur#365Challenger Olbia · Q26:3 7:6
  • 11/10/26WAlexander Donski#519Challenger Olbia · Q17:5 6:2
  • 07/10/26LDamir Dzumhur#88Challenger Villena · R325:7 3:6
  • 05/10/26WHugo Grenier#394Challenger Villena · Q27:6 6:4
  • 04/10/26WSergi Fita JuanChallenger Villena · Q16:4 6:2
  • 27/09/26LGoncalo Marques#583Challenger Porto 2 · Q16:2 3:6 4:6
  • 08/09/26LRadu Albot#571Challenger Istanbul 3 · R324:6 5:7
  • 06/09/26WYanaki Milev#527Challenger Plovdiv 3 · F6:0 6:2

Elo over the last year

Sumit NagalGeorgii Kravchenko

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. NagalG. Kravchenko
Hard court5–645%5–456%
Clay20–1951%17–1259%

Head to head

They have not met yet.