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WTA ChennaiWTA 250Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Okamura vs Kobori 2:1: result and our tips

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Kyoka OkamuraWTA #249Elo 1650hard 1651
2:1final3:6 6:3 6:3
Momoko KoboriWTA #406Elo 1427hard 1455

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Okamura 17 of 20, Kobori 7 of 10 (tour average 66%); Okamura: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Lost60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Okamura: 6 matches in a row under 22.5 games; Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Okamura 16 of 20, Kobori 6 of 10 (tour average 62%)

  • Match Winner: OkamuraWon69%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 69%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Okamura won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Okamura: 4 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kyoka Okamura68%
Momoko Kobori32%

Elo: K. Okamura 76% · M. Kobori 24%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Okamura46%
2:1 K. Okamura21%
2:1 M. Kobori15%
2:0 M. Kobori19%

First set

Kyoka Okamura64%
Momoko Kobori36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%72%
18.568%32%64%
19.560%40%56%
20.553%48%49%
21.547%53%44%
22.540%60%38%
23.536%64%34%

Sample: 2,099 matches

Games handicap

K. Okamura −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 27 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Kyoka OkamuraMomoko Kobori
3Aces2
2Double faults6
96%First serves in97%
64%First-serve points won59%
75%Second-serve points won0%
4/9Break points converted2/11
11/13Service games held10/14
64%Service points won57%
43%Return points won36%
96Total points won82

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. OkamuraTourM. Kobori
Service points won58%56%54%
Return points won44%44%45%
Service games held67%63%61%
Breaks of serve35%37%39%
Aces per service game0.200.11
Double faults per game0.260.39
Sets with a tie-break19%4%
Tie-breaks won5/90/1
Wins in straight sets75%75%
Matches in the sample2210

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kyoka Okamura

Momoko Kobori

  • 31/10/26WRinko Matsuda#429WTA Chennai · Q16:4 6:0
  • 17/10/26LSinja Kraus#92WTA Osaka · Q11:6 6:3 2:6
  • 08/07/26LElizabeth Mandlik#221WTA 125 Newport · R321:6 4:6
  • 05/07/26WMary Lewis#806WTA 125 Newport · Q16:2 4:6 6:0
  • 15/06/26LAnastasia Kulikova#297WTA 125 Figueira Da Foz · Q21:6 6:2 5:7
  • 14/06/26WCarmen Lopez Martinez#941WTA 125 Figueira Da Foz · Q16:1 6:0
  • 08/06/26LCeline Naef#216WTA 125 Ilkley · Q25:7 5:7
  • 07/06/26WKaty Dunne#624WTA 125 Ilkley · Q17:5 6:2
  • 11/04/26LVeronika Podrez#127WTA Rouen · Q10:6 3:6
  • 05/04/26LCaroline Werner#272WTA 125 Madrid · Q11:6 6:7

Elo over the last year

Kyoka OkamuraMomoko Kobori

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. OkamuraM. Kobori
Hard court12–1055%2–250%
Clay0–00–20%
Grass0–02–250%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Kyoka Okamura

Momoko Kobori

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