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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Paris vs Gojo 1:2: result and our tips

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Tom ParisATP #683Elo 1613hard 1620
1:2final7:6(5) 4:6 4:6
Borna GojoATP #135Elo 1815hard 1807

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 69%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Paris 14 of 19, Gojo 15 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: YesWon42%

Where the number comes from: market alone 30% → with the players' profiles 42%

Paris: 4 matches in a row with a tie-break; A tie-break in recent matches: Paris 10 of 19, Gojo 6 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tom Paris24%
Borna Gojo77%

Elo: T. Paris 25% · B. Gojo 75%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Paris13%
2:1 T. Paris10%
2:1 B. Gojo22%
2:0 B. Gojo55%

First set

Tom Paris30%
Borna Gojo71%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.578%22%71%
19.570%30%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.553%48%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.535%66%35%

Sample: 3,588 matches

Games handicap

B. Gojo −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 33 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Tom ParisBorna Gojo
12Aces26
3Double faults3
69%First serves in70%
72%First-serve points won92%
51%Second-serve points won58%
0/0Break points converted2/11
14/16Service games held16/16
66%Service points won81%
19%Return points won35%
90Total points won109

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. ParisTourB. Gojo
Service points won64%62%67%
Return points won34%38%37%
Service games held80%76%86%
Breaks of serve18%24%21%
Aces per service game0.540.91
Double faults per game0.240.28
Sets with a tie-break25%20%
Tie-breaks won6/1216/23
Wins in straight sets56%74%
Matches in the sample2051

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tom Paris

Borna Gojo

Elo over the last year

Tom ParisBorna Gojo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. ParisB. Gojo
Hard court8–947%32–1371%
Clay1–233%2–250%
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Tom Paris

Borna Gojo

First match in this tournament.