Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Finalclaybest of three sets
Passaro vs Piros 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Francesco Passaro45%
Zsombor Piros55%
Elo: F. Passaro 43% · Z. Piros 57%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 F. Passaro26%
2:1 F. Passaro18%
2:1 Z. Piros21%
2:0 Z. Piros35%
First set
Francesco Passaro45%
Zsombor Piros55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 50%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 34% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 4,647 matches
Games handicap
Zsombor Piros −1.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes34%
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 22.0in · 27 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Francesco Passaro | Zsombor Piros | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 3 |
| 1 | Double faults | 2 |
| 69% | First serves in | 65% |
| 73% | First-serve points won | 62% |
| 48% | Second-serve points won | 44% |
| 5/6 | Break points converted | 3/5 |
| 11/14 | Service games held | 8/13 |
| 65% | Service points won | 56% |
| 44% | Return points won | 35% |
| 87 | Total points won | 71 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Passaro | Tour | Z. Piros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 29% |
| Aces per service game | 0.48 | 0.35 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 19/25 | 12/18 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 55 | 65 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Francesco Passaro
- 17/10/26WMatej Dodig#138Challenger Maia · SF5:7 6:1 6:4
- 16/10/26WMarco Trungelliti#90Challenger Maia · QF2:6 7:5 7:6
- 15/10/26WNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo#154Challenger Maia · R167:6 7:6
- 14/10/26WTiago Torres#377Challenger Maia · R326:3 6:0
- 11/10/26WJonas Forejtek#299Challenger Palermo · F6:3 6:7 7:6
- 10/10/26WYanaki Milev#535Challenger Palermo · SF6:2 6:1
- 09/10/26WEnrico Dalla Valle#303Challenger Palermo · QF6:3 6:4
- 08/10/26WCarlo Alberto Caniato#314Challenger Palermo · R164:6 6:3 6:4
- 06/10/26WOriol Roca Batalla#304Challenger Palermo · R326:1 7:6
- 22/09/26LAlejandro Juan Mano#590Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:0 6:7 1:6
Zsombor Piros
- 17/10/26WAlejo Sanchez Quilez#323Challenger Maia · SF6:4 6:4
- 16/10/26WLorenzo Giustino#231Challenger Maia · QF6:3 1:6 7:6
- 14/10/26WPol Martin Tiffon#211Challenger Maia · R166:3 6:2
- 13/10/26WBenjamin Hassan#497Challenger Maia · R326:3 6:2
- 08/10/26LElmer Moller#163Challenger Braga · R166:1 1:6 5:7
- 05/10/26WTristan Boyer#200Challenger Braga · R326:2 5:7 6:4
- 30/09/26LEnrico Dalla Valle#303Challenger Bari · R164:6 2:6
- 28/09/26WBenjamin Hassan#497Challenger Bari · R327:6 6:3
- 01/09/26LMattia Bellucci#68ATP US Open · R1284:6 2:6 0:6
- 28/08/26WChristopher O'Connell#117ATP US Open · Q35:7 7:6
Elo over the last year
Francesco PassaroZsombor Piros
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Passaro | Z. Piros | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 13–862% | 12–475% |
| Clay | 20–1459% | 33–1470% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 1–150% |
Head to head
F. Passaro 1–1 Z. Piros
- 25/03/24Winner: Francesco Passaro4:6 6:4 7:5
- 06/09/23Winner: Zsombor Piros3:6 6:3 2:6
Road through the tournament
Francesco Passaro
- 14/10/26WTiago Torres#377Challenger Maia · R326:3 6:0
- 15/10/26WNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo#154Challenger Maia · R167:6 7:6
- 16/10/26WMarco Trungelliti#90Challenger Maia · QF2:6 7:5 7:6
- 17/10/26WMatej Dodig#138Challenger Maia · SF5:7 6:1 6:4
Zsombor Piros
- 13/10/26WBenjamin Hassan#497Challenger Maia · R326:3 6:2
- 14/10/26WPol Martin Tiffon#211Challenger Maia · R166:3 6:2
- 16/10/26WLorenzo Giustino#231Challenger Maia · QF6:3 1:6 7:6
- 17/10/26WAlejo Sanchez Quilez#323Challenger Maia · SF6:4 6:4