Challenger VillenaChallenger 125Semifinalhardbest of three sets

Pinnington Jones vs Glinka 1:2: result and our tips

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Jack Pinnington JonesATP #205Elo 1774hard 1767
1:2final6:3 6:7(6) 2:6
Daniil GlinkaATP #178Elo 1749hard 1752

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoLost65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Pinnington Jones: 6 matches in a row without a tie-break

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 20.5Won60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Pinnington Jones 11 of 20, Glinka 15 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Pinnington Jones: 5 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jack Pinnington Jones60%
Daniil Glinka40%

Elo: J. Pinnington Jones 52% · D. Glinka 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Pinnington Jones38%
2:1 J. Pinnington Jones21%
2:1 D. Glinka16%
2:0 D. Glinka24%

First set

Jack Pinnington Jones57%
Daniil Glinka43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%41%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,787 matches

Games handicap

Jack Pinnington Jones −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 30 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Jack Pinnington JonesDaniil Glinka
6Aces5
7Double faults4
60%First serves in65%
72%First-serve points won69%
40%Second-serve points won51%
3/7Break points converted4/8
11/15Service games held11/14
59%Service points won63%
37%Return points won41%
93Total points won101

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. Pinnington JonesTourD. Glinka
Service points won61%62%64%
Return points won38%38%39%
Service games held74%76%79%
Breaks of serve27%24%24%
Aces per service game0.420.56
Double faults per game0.370.25
Sets with a tie-break18%13%
Tie-breaks won11/2118/24
Wins in straight sets65%69%
Matches in the sample5180

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jack Pinnington Jones

Daniil Glinka

Elo over the last year

Jack Pinnington JonesDaniil Glinka

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. Pinnington JonesD. Glinka
Hard court21–1558%40–2166%
Clay3–538%8–753%
Grass2–529%0–40%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jack Pinnington Jones

Daniil Glinka

See also