Challenger SydneyChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying
Rai vs Marinkov: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Our tip
Match Winner: Marinkov77%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Rai lost 6 of the last 8 matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Ajeet Rai23%
Pavle Marinkov77%
Elo: A. Rai 42% · P. Marinkov 59%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Rai13%
2:1 A. Rai11%
2:1 P. Marinkov22%
2:0 P. Marinkov55%
First set
Ajeet Rai30%
Pavle Marinkov71%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%
Total games
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 71% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 38% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 35% | 65% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 33% | 67% | 35% |
Sample: 3,711 matches
Games handicap
P. Marinkov −4.547%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes31%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Rai | Tour | P. Marinkov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.50 | 0.50 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.35 | 0.37 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 5% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 0/1 | 2/6 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 9 | 27 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ajeet Rai
- 11/10/26LJake Delaney#338Challenger Jinan · Q13:4
- 04/10/26LGrigoriy Lomakin#860Challenger Wuning 3 · Q14:6 6:7
- 10/08/26LQuinn Vandecasteele#467Challenger Brownsburg · Q23:6 2:6
- 09/08/26WPaul Jubb#365Challenger Brownsburg · Q13:6 6:3 6:3
- 12/07/26LEvan Zhu#461Challenger Lincoln · Q15:7 5:7
- 21/06/26LDragos Nicolae Cazacu#717Challenger Plovdiv · Q12:6 2:6
- 23/11/25LTaiyo Yamanaka#764Challenger Playford · Q13:6 6:4 2:6
- 17/11/25LEmile Hudd#460Challenger Sydney · Q14:6 3:6
- 16/11/25WEthan CookChallenger Sydney · Q16:3 6:2
- 09/11/25LCarl Emil Overbeck#308Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q12:6 1:6
Pavle Marinkov
- 09/11/26LHiroki Moriya#450Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q24:6 4:6
- 08/11/26WDerek PhamChallenger Brisbane 3 · Q16:3 1:6 6:3
- 27/07/26LChristian Langmo#528Challenger Vancouver · Q14:6 5:7
- 19/07/26LMikael ArseneaultChallenger Winnipeg · Q13:6 4:6
- 13/07/26LYibing Wu#105Challenger Lincoln · Q23:6 6:7
- 12/07/26WRonit Karki#890Challenger Lincoln · Q16:4 6:2
- 31/05/26LMasamichi Imamura#439Challenger Tyler · Q21:6 1:6
- 24/05/26LJustin Boulais#411Challenger Little Rock · Q14:6 4:6
- 13/04/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#412Challenger Wuning 2 · Q22:6 3:6
- 12/04/26WJoshua Charlton#873Challenger Wuning 2 · Q15:7 6:4 6:4
Elo over the last year
Ajeet RaiPavle Marinkov
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Rai | P. Marinkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–625% | 11–1641% |
| Clay | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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