Rincon vs De la Fuente: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 69% → with the players' profiles 61%
De la Fuente: 13 matches in a row over 17.5 games; Over 17.5 games in recent matches: Rincon 18 of 20, De la Fuente 17 of 20 (tour average 76%)
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.572%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Rincon: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set
Where the number comes from: market alone 38% → with the players' profiles 34%
De la Fuente: 3 matches in a row over 21.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: D. Rincon 76% · S. De la Fuente 24%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 20.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 75% | 25% | 84% |
| 17.5 | 65% | 35% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 56% | 44% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 48% | 52% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 43% | 57% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 37% | 63% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 33% | 67% | 40% |
Sample: 2,299 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Rincon | Tour | S. De la Fuente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 57% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 43% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 64% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | 0.39 | 0.12 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/22 | 9/12 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 60% | |
| Matches in the sample | 50 | 33 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Daniel Rincon
- 14/10/26LMichael Mmoh#150Challenger Olbia · R165:7 2:6
- 13/10/26WSamuele Pieri#309Challenger Olbia · R326:0 6:2
- 08/10/26LPedro Martinez#124Challenger Villena · R165:7 4:6
- 05/10/26WAlejo Sanchez Quilez#322Challenger Villena · R326:2 6:4
- 02/10/26LDavid Jorda Sanchis#195Challenger Porto 2 · QF3:6 4:6
- 01/10/26WLaslo Djere#133Challenger Porto 2 · R167:6 6:4
- 29/09/26WFausto Tabacco#453Challenger Porto 2 · R326:1 6:1
- 22/09/26LDino Prizmic#89Challenger Saint Tropez · R324:6 3:6
- 17/09/26LTitouan Droguet#81Challenger Rennes · R167:5 4:6 3:6
- 16/09/26WHamish Stewart#452Challenger Rennes · R325:7 4:2
Santiago De la Fuente
- 09/11/26WCarlos Sanchez Jover#328Challenger Lima · Q27:6 7:6
- 08/11/26WIgnacio Monzon#551Challenger Lima · Q16:4 3:6 7:6
- 02/11/26LRyo Tabata#844Challenger Villa Maria · Q22:6 7:5 2:6
- 01/11/26WFaustino BoffelliChallenger Villa Maria · Q16:3 6:3
- 12/10/26LArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#762Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q26:7 1:6
- 11/10/26WPaulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos#425Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q17:6 6:2
- 04/10/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Antofagasta · Q11:6 7:6 0:6
- 28/09/26LPedro Sakamoto#436Challenger Curitiba · Q26:2 2:6 6:7
- 27/09/26WBoris AriasChallenger Curitiba · Q17:6 6:3
- 20/09/26LMatias Franco DescotteChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q15:7 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Rincon | S. De la Fuente | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–1348% | 0–0 |
| Clay | 14–1156% | 15–1845% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Daniel Rincon
First match in this tournament.
Santiago De la Fuente
- 08/11/26WIgnacio Monzon#551Challenger Lima · Q16:4 3:6 7:6
- 09/11/26WCarlos Sanchez Jover#328Challenger Lima · Q27:6 7:6
Upcoming matches
- Daniel Milavsky vs Murphy Cassone, · Challenger Knoxville
- Laura Samson vs Carolina Alves, · WTA 125 Sopo
- Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert, · Challenger Orleans
- Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana, · Challenger Lima
- Zdenek Kolar vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva, · Challenger Lima
- Elmer Moller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri, · Challenger Lima