WTA TokyoWTA 500Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Sasnovich vs Bartunkova: prediction and tips

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Aliaksandra SasnovichWTA #112Elo 1799hard 1788
-:-
Nikola BartunkovaWTA #29Elo 1995hard 1957

Our tips

Tip in 14h 25m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Aliaksandra Sasnovich36%
Nikola Bartunkova64%

Elo: A. Sasnovich 28% · N. Bartunkova 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Sasnovich22%
2:1 A. Sasnovich16%
2:1 N. Bartunkova22%
2:0 N. Bartunkova41%

First set

Aliaksandra Sasnovich40%
Nikola Bartunkova60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.542%58%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,318 matches

Games handicap

Nikola Bartunkova −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. SasnovichTourN. Bartunkova
Service points won58%56%59%
Return points won46%44%43%
Service games held67%63%70%
Breaks of serve41%37%35%
Aces per service game0.280.38
Double faults per game0.320.40
Sets with a tie-break10%14%
Tie-breaks won4/137/21
Wins in straight sets78%51%
Matches in the sample6262

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Nikola Bartunkova

Elo over the last year

Aliaksandra SasnovichNikola Bartunkova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. SasnovichN. Bartunkova
Hard court26–1760%26–1465%
Clay8–657%5–550%
Grass2–340%8–467%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Nikola Bartunkova

First match in this tournament.