WTA TokyoWTA 500Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Sasnovich vs Rakhimova 2:0: result and our tips

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Aliaksandra SasnovichWTA #112Elo 1787hard 1776
2:0final6:4 6:4
Kamilla RakhimovaWTA #66Elo 1802hard 1790

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won57%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Sasnovich 16 of 20, Rakhimova 13 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Sasnovich 12 of 20, Rakhimova 10 of 20 (tour average 44%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Aliaksandra Sasnovich54%
Kamilla Rakhimova46%

Elo: A. Sasnovich 48% · K. Rakhimova 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Sasnovich33%
2:1 A. Sasnovich19%
2:1 K. Rakhimova18%
2:0 K. Rakhimova30%

First set

Aliaksandra Sasnovich51%
Kamilla Rakhimova49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,364 matches

Games handicap

Aliaksandra Sasnovich −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Aliaksandra SasnovichKamilla Rakhimova
2Aces2
2Double faults4
81%First serves in80%
74%First-serve points won59%
36%Second-serve points won28%
4/14Break points converted2/8
8/10Service games held6/10
67%Service points won53%
47%Return points won33%
80Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. SasnovichTourK. Rakhimova
Service points won57%56%55%
Return points won46%44%46%
Service games held67%63%64%
Breaks of serve41%37%39%
Aces per service game0.280.16
Double faults per game0.320.44
Sets with a tie-break10%14%
Tie-breaks won4/138/21
Wins in straight sets77%55%
Matches in the sample6163

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Kamilla Rakhimova

Elo over the last year

Aliaksandra SasnovichKamilla Rakhimova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. SasnovichK. Rakhimova
Hard court25–1760%28–2157%
Clay8–657%2–529%
Grass2–340%3–443%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Kamilla Rakhimova