Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Schoen vs Vrbensky 0:2: result and our tips

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Patrick SchoenATP #368Elo 1679clay 1679
0:2final3:6 4:6
Michael VrbenskyATP #754Elo 1393clay 1375

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Schoen 2-0Lost60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Schoen won 2-0 in 5 of the last 9 matches, Vrbensky lost 0-2 in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 21.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 62%

    Schoen: 6 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Patrick Schoen82%
Michael Vrbensky18%

Elo: P. Schoen 85% · M. Vrbensky 15%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Schoen60%
2:1 P. Schoen22%
2:1 M. Vrbensky9%
2:0 M. Vrbensky10%

First set

Patrick Schoen75%
Michael Vrbensky25%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 51%market (no margin): 47%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.576%24%84%
17.566%34%76%
18.556%44%68%
19.549%51%59%
20.543%57%52%
21.538%62%47%
22.533%67%40%

Sample: 2,166 matches

Games handicap

Patrick Schoen −5.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 19.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Patrick SchoenMichael Vrbensky
0Aces5
3Double faults0
66%First serves in68%
76%First-serve points won81%
35%Second-serve points won58%
0/3Break points converted2/10
7/9Service games held10/10
62%Service points won73%
27%Return points won38%
52Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. SchoenTourM. Vrbensky
Service points won61%62%59%
Return points won42%38%39%
Service games held75%76%70%
Breaks of serve32%24%24%
Aces per service game0.330.35
Double faults per game0.200.37
Sets with a tie-break5%20%
Tie-breaks won1/16/16
Wins in straight sets83%54%
Matches in the sample934

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Patrick Schoen

Michael Vrbensky

Elo over the last year

Patrick SchoenMichael Vrbensky

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. SchoenM. Vrbensky
Hard court0–09–853%
Clay6–367%4–1324%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Patrick Schoen

Michael Vrbensky