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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Shi vs Yastremska: prediction and tips

·

Han ShiWTA #162Elo 1740hard 1748
-:-
Dayana YastremskaWTA #97Elo 1818hard 1786

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Yastremska56%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Shi lost the first set in 11 of the last 19 matches, Yastremska won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Yastremska61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Yastremska: 3 wins in a row

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.545%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Shi: 4 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Han Shi42%
Dayana Yastremska58%

Elo: H. Shi 45% · D. Yastremska 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Shi28%
2:1 H. Shi18%
2:1 D. Yastremska21%
2:0 D. Yastremska34%

First set

Han Shi47%
Dayana Yastremska53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 48%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,472 matches

Games handicap

D. Yastremska −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. ShiTourD. Yastremska
Service points won57%56%55%
Return points won45%44%43%
Service games held67%63%62%
Breaks of serve39%37%35%
Aces per service game0.310.20
Double faults per game0.330.42
Sets with a tie-break11%17%
Tie-breaks won3/513/18
Wins in straight sets54%64%
Matches in the sample2045

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Han Shi

Dayana Yastremska

Elo over the last year

Han ShiDayana Yastremska

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. ShiD. Yastremska
Hard court13–668%12–1544%
Clay0–10%7–558%
Grass0–03–350%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Han Shi

Dayana Yastremska