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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Stojsavljevic vs Ibragimova 2:1: result and our tips

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Mika StojsavljevicWTA #411Elo 1480hard 1464
2:1final1:6 6:2 6:1
Alevtina IbragimovaWTA #162Elo 1657hard 1611

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mika Stojsavljevic44%
Alevtina Ibragimova56%

Elo: M. Stojsavljevic 30% · A. Ibragimova 70%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Stojsavljevic29%
2:1 M. Stojsavljevic18%
2:1 A. Ibragimova20%
2:0 A. Ibragimova33%

First set

Mika Stojsavljevic48%
Alevtina Ibragimova52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%64%32%

Sample: 2,446 matches

Games handicap

A. Ibragimova −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 23%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.0in · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Mika StojsavljevicAlevtina Ibragimova
5Aces0
4Double faults6
57%First serves in69%
71%First-serve points won54%
42%Second-serve points won35%
6/13Break points converted4/5
7/11Service games held5/11
59%Service points won48%
52%Return points won41%
74Total points won60

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. StojsavljevicTourA. Ibragimova
Service points won57%56%53%
Return points won41%44%48%
Service games held66%63%58%
Breaks of serve26%37%46%
Aces per service game0.380.15
Double faults per game0.360.28
Sets with a tie-break24%5%
Tie-breaks won1/43/4
Wins in straight sets0%60%
Matches in the sample733

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mika Stojsavljevic

Alevtina Ibragimova

  • 26/10/26LHan Shi#148WTA Guangzhou · R324:6 4:6
  • 25/10/26WPolina Iatcenko#169WTA Guangzhou · Q26:3 6:3
  • 24/10/26WRina Saigo#329WTA Guangzhou · Q13:6 6:2 6:4
  • 05/10/26LRebecca Sramkova#146WTA 125 Suzhou · R322:6 3:6
  • 01/10/26LKyoka Okamura#249WTA 125 Jingshan · R167:6 1:6 3:6
  • 29/09/26WDarya Khomutsianskaya#281WTA 125 Jingshan · R323:6 6:4 7:5
  • 22/09/26LYeon Woo Ku#181WTA Seoul · R323:6 2:6
  • 20/09/26WSara Saito#247WTA Seoul · Q27:5 6:2
  • 19/09/26WRina Saigo#329WTA Seoul · Q16:3 6:2
  • 13/09/26LRositsa Dencheva#198WTA 125 Antalya 4 · F5:7 4:6

Elo over the last year

Mika StojsavljevicAlevtina Ibragimova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. StojsavljevicA. Ibragimova
Hard court0–10%6–650%
Clay0–014–767%
Grass2–433%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.