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Challenger LimaChallenger 75Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Tabata vs Nikles 2:0: result and our tips

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Ryo TabataATP #844Elo 1583clay 1632
2:0final6:3 6:3
Johan NiklesATP #417Elo 1637clay 1643

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: NiklesLost68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 68%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Nikles won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ryo Tabata34%
Johan Nikles67%

Elo: R. Tabata 48% · J. Nikles 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Tabata19%
2:1 R. Tabata15%
2:1 J. Nikles23%
2:0 J. Nikles44%

First set

Ryo Tabata38%
Johan Nikles62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%76%
18.566%35%68%
19.558%42%59%
20.553%48%52%
21.546%54%46%
22.540%60%40%
23.538%62%36%

Sample: 4,451 matches

Games handicap

J. Nikles −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Ryo TabataJohan Nikles
—Aces—
0Double faults1
73%First serves in73%
64%First-serve points won54%
50%Second-serve points won27%
5/11Break points converted2/5
7/9Service games held4/9
60%Service points won46%
54%Return points won40%
66Total points won50

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. TabataTourJ. Nikles
Service points won59%62%57%
Return points won38%38%45%
Service games held70%76%67%
Breaks of serve25%24%38%
Aces per service game0.200.17
Double faults per game0.190.23
Sets with a tie-break13%1%
Tie-breaks won4/61/1
Wins in straight sets38%68%
Matches in the sample1836

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ryo Tabata

Johan Nikles

  • 08/11/26WBoris AriasChallenger Lima · Q16:2 6:1
  • 07/10/26LMiguel Damas#346Challenger Braga · R324:6 3:6
  • 05/10/26WVladyslav Orlov#513Challenger Braga · Q26:0 6:3
  • 04/10/26WMartim BernardoChallenger Braga · Q16:1 6:2
  • 15/09/26LLaslo Djere#133Challenger Szczecin · R327:6 3:6 0:6
  • 14/09/26WM. Cerny#688Challenger Szczecin · Q26:3 6:2
  • 13/09/26WSaba Purtseladze#587Challenger Szczecin · Q16:2 6:4
  • 05/09/26LMatej Dodig#136Challenger Como · SF3:6 0:6
  • 04/09/26WAndrej Nedic#267Challenger Como · QF4:6 6:2 6:1
  • 03/09/26WFilip Cristian Jianu#291Challenger Como · R166:1 6:3

Elo over the last year

Ryo TabataJohan Nikles

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. TabataJ. Nikles
Hard court1–713%4–450%
Clay7–370%18–1064%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Ryo Tabata

Johan Nikles

Upcoming matches

See also