Trungelliti vs Caniato 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 60%
Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Trungelliti 18 of 20, Caniato 9 of 20 (tour average 52%)
Other tips
- Tie-break in Match: NoLost66%
Where the number comes from: market alone 69% → with the players' profiles 66%
Caniato: 9 matches in a row without a tie-break
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 26.5 games in recent matches: Trungelliti 10 of 20, Caniato 6 of 20 (tour average 26%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Trungelliti 62% · C. Caniato 38%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 4,807 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.5out · 32 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Marco Trungelliti | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 4 |
| 3 | Double faults | 1 |
| 65% | First serves in | 67% |
| 75% | First-serve points won | 71% |
| 36% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 3/8 | Break points converted | 3/14 |
| 13/16 | Service games held | 12/15 |
| 61% | Service points won | 64% |
| 36% | Return points won | 39% |
| 98 | Total points won | 98 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Trungelliti | Tour | C. Caniato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 84% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.36 | 0.42 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.31 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 18/39 | 6/19 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 80% | |
| Matches in the sample | 68 | 45 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Marco Trungelliti
- 20/10/26WTiago Pereira#316Challenger Lisbon · R327:6 4:6 6:1
- 16/10/26LFrancesco Passaro#146Challenger Maia · QF6:2 5:7 6:7
- 15/10/26WMilos Karol#569Challenger Maia · R166:2 6:0
- 13/10/26WThiago Monteiro#236Challenger Maia · R324:6 6:1 6:4
- 07/10/26LRei Sakamoto#124ATP Shanghai · R1283:6 5:7
- 29/09/26LAlex Molcan#80ATP Beijing · Q24:6 5:7
- 28/09/26WMartin Landaluce#67ATP Beijing · Q16:1 6:7 7:6
- 19/09/26LThiago Monteiro#236Challenger Szczecin · SF4:6 6:3 3:6
- 18/09/26WMarco Cecchinato#164Challenger Szczecin · QF7:6 7:5
- 17/09/26WFilip Pieczonka#877Challenger Szczecin · R166:7 7:5 6:4
Carlo Alberto Caniato
- 19/10/26WDiogo MoraisChallenger Lisbon · R326:0 6:3
- 15/10/26LMarvin Moeller#226Challenger Catania · R164:6 6:3 2:6
- 13/10/26WDaniel Siniakov#496Challenger Catania · R326:3 6:2
- 08/10/26LFrancesco Passaro#146Challenger Palermo · R166:4 3:6 4:6
- 06/10/26WMax Wiskandt#378Challenger Palermo · R326:2 6:3
- 27/09/26LLuka Mikrut#245Challenger Genoa 2 · F4:6 5:7
- 26/09/26WFrancesco Forti#329Challenger Genoa 2 · SF6:2 6:4
- 25/09/26WJay Clarke#238Challenger Genoa 2 · QF6:0 2:0
- 24/09/26WTom Gentzsch#161Challenger Genoa 2 · R166:3 5:7 7:5
- 22/09/26WLorenzo BertoChallenger Genoa 2 · R326:1 7:5
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Trungelliti | C. Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 7–1041% | 0–30% |
| Clay | 30–1764% | 25–1760% |
| Grass | 1–325% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Marco Trungelliti
- 20/10/26WTiago Pereira#316Challenger Lisbon · R327:6 4:6 6:1
Carlo Alberto Caniato
- 19/10/26WDiogo MoraisChallenger Lisbon · R326:0 6:3