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Challenger Hersonissos 3Challenger 50Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Tsitsipas vs Angelini 0:1: result and our tips

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Petros TsitsipasElo 1238hard 1250
0:1retired6:7(3)
Lorenzo AngeliniATP #531Elo 1390hard 1461

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: Angelini73%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 73%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Tsitsipas lost 5 of the last 5 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Petros Tsitsipas27%
Lorenzo Angelini73%

Elo: P. Tsitsipas 23% · L. Angelini 77%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Tsitsipas16%
2:1 P. Tsitsipas12%
2:1 L. Angelini22%
2:0 L. Angelini50%

First set

Petros Tsitsipas33%
Lorenzo Angelini67%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%79%
18.568%32%71%
19.559%41%62%
20.553%47%54%
21.546%54%49%
22.540%60%42%
23.536%64%37%

Sample: 4,388 matches

Games handicap

L. Angelini −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Match stats

Petros TsitsipasLorenzo Angelini
—Aces—
2Double faults1
53%First serves in50%
65%First-serve points won84%
53%Second-serve points won68%
0/3Break points converted0/15
6/6Service games held6/6
59%Service points won76%
24%Return points won41%
47Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. TsitsipasTourL. Angelini
Service points won60%62%56%
Return points won34%38%42%
Service games held73%76%63%
Breaks of serve16%24%33%
Aces per service game0.440.11
Double faults per game0.390.29
Sets with a tie-break9%4%
Tie-breaks won0/12/2
Wins in straight sets—60%
Matches in the sample524

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Petros Tsitsipas

  • 16/08/26LOleksandr Ovcharenko#626Challenger Sion · Q15:7 4:6
  • 08/03/26LMax Wiskandt#382Challenger Hersonissos 2 · Q16:7 1:6
  • 01/03/26LStefan Dostanic#303Challenger Hersonissos · Q15:7 1:6
  • 01/02/26LBruno Pujol NavarroChallenger Tenerife · Q14:6 6:1 2:6
  • 26/01/26LDimitar Kuzmanov#363Challenger Manama · Q13:6 5:7
  • 14/10/25LRadu Albot#571Challenger Hersonissos 6 · R323:6 1:6
  • 08/10/25LAntoine EscoffierChallenger Hersonissos 5 · R167:5 2:6 6:7
  • 06/10/25WRobert Strombachs#352Challenger Hersonissos 5 · R324:6 7:5 6:4
  • 17/08/25LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Hersonissos 4 · Q10:6 0:1
  • 12/08/25LTheo Papamalamis#544Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R324:6 3:6

Lorenzo Angelini

  • 11/10/26LKai Wehnelt#643Challenger Catania · Q12:6 0:6
  • 04/10/26LOleksandr Ovcharenko#626Challenger Palermo · Q14:6 4:6
  • 30/09/26LGianluca Cadenasso#215Challenger Bari · R167:5 3:6 0:6
  • 28/09/26WGarrett Johns#451Challenger Bari · R324:6 7:6 7:5
  • 06/09/26LLorenzo Rottoli#790Challenger Genoa · Q13:6 3:6
  • 30/08/26LLaurent Lokoli#336Challenger Como · Q12:6 1:6
  • 04/08/26LPyotr Nesterov#286Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R325:7 1:6
  • 26/07/26LMaxime Janvier#605Challenger San Marino · Q16:4 4:6 2:6
  • 16/07/26LMax Alcala Gurri#130Challenger Cordenons · R164:6 2:6
  • 13/07/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#191Challenger Cordenons · R326:3 6:0

Elo over the last year

Petros TsitsipasLorenzo Angelini

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. TsitsipasL. Angelini
Hard court0–40%4–267%
Clay0–10%6–1233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also