Challenger SydneyChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Tu vs McCabe: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 19h 49mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Li Tu50%
James McCabe50%
Elo: L. Tu 60% · J. McCabe 40%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Tu31%
2:1 L. Tu19%
2:1 J. McCabe19%
2:0 J. McCabe31%
First set
Li Tu50%
James McCabe50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
Expected total: 24.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 74% | 26% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 66% | 34% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 42% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 53% | 47% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 42% | 58% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 40% | 60% | 32% |
Sample: 5,438 matches
Games handicap
L. Tu −0.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes45%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Tu | Tour | J. McCabe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 34% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 83% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 17% |
| Aces per service game | 0.62 | 0.72 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.29 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 28% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/11 | 16/33 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 75% | |
| Matches in the sample | 29 | 52 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Li Tu
- 29/09/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#305Challenger Columbus · R326:3 2:6 3:6
- 28/09/26WJames Kent Trotter#516Challenger Columbus · Q26:3 6:3
- 27/09/26WNicolas Oliveira#799Challenger Columbus · Q16:2 6:3
- 20/09/26LAlafia Ayeni#428Challenger San Diego 2 · Q13:6 6:7
- 13/09/26LRoger Pascual Ferra#689Challenger Tiburon · Q14:6 4:6
- 22/08/26LQuinn Vandecasteele#467ATP Winston Salem · Q13:6 2:6
- 31/05/26LLorenzo Carboni#550Challenger Perugia · Q13:6 4:6
- 25/05/26LLukas Neumayer#152Challenger Vicenza · R326:7 4:6
- 19/05/26LTommaso Compagnucci#373Challenger Cervia · R325:7 4:6
- 19/04/26LFajing Sun#297Challenger Wuning 2 · F7:5 4:6 5:7
James McCabe
- 12/11/26LChristian Langmo#528Challenger Brisbane 3 · R162:6 6:4 3:6
- 03/11/26LKasidit Samrej#375Challenger Taipei · R323:6 5:7
- 27/10/26LHiroki Moriya#450Challenger Ningbo · R321:6 6:2 6:7
- 21/10/26LJay Friend#256Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R166:4 6:7 4:6
- 19/10/26WElias Ymer#254Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:0 6:7 7:6
- 12/10/26LHayato Matsuoka#246Challenger Jinan · Q23:6 4:6
- 11/10/26WSiddhant BanthiaChallenger Jinan · Q16:0 3:1
- 30/09/26LFederico Cina#139Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 3:6
- 24/08/26LLukas Neumayer#152ATP US Open · Q11:6 4:6
- 04/08/26LDusan Lajovic#158Challenger Lexington · R323:6 7:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Li TuJames McCabe
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Tu | J. McCabe | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 15–1256% | 18–2146% |
| Clay | 0–30% | 0–20% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 6–555% |
Head to head
L. Tu 1–1 J. McCabe
- 16/04/24Winner: J. McCabe6:4 4:6 1:6
- 11/06/23Winner: L. Tu7:6 6:1
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