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Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Finalhardbest of three sets

Langmo vs Holmgren: prediction and tips

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Christian LangmoATP #528Elo 1652hard 1637
-:-
August HolmgrenATP #265Elo 1726hard 1711

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Holmgren70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Holmgren: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Holmgren77%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Holmgren: 4 wins in a row

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.533%

Where the number comes from: market alone 30% → with the players' profiles 33%

Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Langmo 10 of 20, Holmgren 9 of 20 (tour average 32%); Langmo: 3 matches in a row over 25.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Christian Langmo24%
August Holmgren77%

Elo: C. Langmo 39% · A. Holmgren 61%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Langmo13%
2:1 C. Langmo11%
2:1 A. Holmgren22%
2:0 A. Holmgren55%

First set

Christian Langmo30%
August Holmgren70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 54%market (no margin): 47%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.577%23%71%
19.569%31%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.540%61%37%
24.534%66%35%

Sample: 3,733 matches

Games handicap

A. Holmgren −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. LangmoTourA. Holmgren
Service points won65%62%66%
Return points won35%38%36%
Service games held82%76%83%
Breaks of serve20%24%19%
Aces per service game0.610.65
Double faults per game0.240.31
Sets with a tie-break20%19%
Tie-breaks won17/2919/30
Wins in straight sets70%65%
Matches in the sample6365

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Christian Langmo

August Holmgren

Elo over the last year

Christian LangmoAugust Holmgren

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. LangmoA. Holmgren
Hard court25–2451%23–2350%
Clay8–657%6–367%
Grass0–05–645%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Christian Langmo

August Holmgren

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