ATP Tour Finals TurinFinalsRound robinhard, indoorbest of three sets
Cobolli vs Tiafoe: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 7hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Flavio Cobolli41%
Frances Tiafoe59%
Elo: F. Cobolli 41% · F. Tiafoe 59%
from Elo (no market)
Set score
2:0 F. Cobolli25%
2:1 F. Cobolli17%
2:1 F. Tiafoe21%
2:0 F. Tiafoe37%
First set
Flavio Cobolli44%
Frances Tiafoe56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 24.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 74% | 26% | 67% |
| 20.5 | 66% | 34% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 59% | 41% | 53% |
| 22.5 | 53% | 47% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
Sample: 16,448 matches
Games handicap
F. Tiafoe −2.547%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes45%
tour average 37%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Cobolli | Tour | F. Tiafoe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 84% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.49 | 0.47 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.17 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 17/27 | 19/39 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 46% | 52% | |
| Matches in the sample | 57 | 65 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Flavio Cobolli
- 29/10/26LMatteo Berrettini#43ATP Vienna · R162:5
- 27/10/26WGrigor Dimitrov#135ATP Vienna · R326:4 3:6 6:3
- 24/10/26LLorenzo Musetti#25ATP Lyon · SF6:4 2:6 5:7
- 23/10/26WBrandon Nakashima#19ATP Lyon · QF4:6 6:4 6:4
- 22/10/26WStan Wawrinka#164ATP Lyon · R166:2 6:4
- 09/10/26LAdrian Mannarino#61ATP Shanghai · R641:6 6:4 3:6
- 01/10/26LRoman Safiullin#74ATP Beijing · R323:6 2:6
- 05/09/26LAlexander Blockx#28ATP US Open · R327:6 3:6 0:6 3:6
- 03/09/26WTristan Schoolkate#144ATP US Open · R643:6 6:3 6:4 7:5
- 01/09/26WFrancisco Comesana#138ATP US Open · R1283:6 2:6 6:3 6:4 6:4
Frances Tiafoe
- 04/11/26LQuentin Halys#45ATP Paris · R323:6 6:1 6:7
- 28/10/26LLorenzo Musetti#25ATP Vienna · R326:7 5:7
- 11/10/26LAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#17ATP Shanghai · R326:7 6:4 6:7
- 09/10/26WYannick Hanfmann#67ATP Shanghai · R646:4 6:4
- 02/10/26LArthur Fils#7ATP Tokyo · R163:6 5:7
- 01/10/26WKei NishikoriATP Tokyo · R326:4 6:4
- 11/09/26LBen Shelton#4ATP US Open · SF6:4 3:6 3:6 5:7
- 08/09/26WAlex Michelsen#35ATP US Open · QF5:7 3:6 7:5 6:3 7:6
- 06/09/26WDaniil Medvedev#5ATP US Open · R167:6 6:4 7:6
- 04/09/26WValentin Vacherot#27ATP US Open · R326:4 6:2 6:4
Elo over the last year
Flavio CobolliFrances Tiafoe
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Cobolli | F. Tiafoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–1357% | 28–1565% |
| Clay | 14–767% | 7–464% |
| Grass | 4–267% | 9–282% |
Head to head
F. Cobolli 1–4 F. Tiafoe
- 15/06/26Winner: F. Tiafoe2:6 6:7
- 09/03/26Winner: F. Tiafoe1:6 2:6
- 01/03/26Winner: F. Cobolli7:6 6:4
- 24/07/25Winner: F. Tiafoe1:6 4:6
- 16/02/24Winner: F. Tiafoe4:6 2:6
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