Uchijima vs Sramkova 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Uchijima lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Sramkova won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%); Sramkova: 5 matches in a row winning the first set
Other tips
- Match Winner: SramkovaLost61%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Sramkova: 5 wins in a row; Uchijima lost 7 of the last 10 matches
- Tie-break in Match: NoWon75%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Sramkova: 16 matches in a row without a tie-break
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Uchijima 38% · R. Sramkova 63%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,472 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:0
- Total games Under 21.5in · 17 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Moyuka Uchijima | Rebecca Sramkova | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 0 |
| 5 | Double faults | 2 |
| 54% | First serves in | 62% |
| 79% | First-serve points won | 50% |
| 60% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 4/6 | Break points converted | 1/7 |
| 8/9 | Service games held | 4/8 |
| 70% | Service points won | 50% |
| 50% | Return points won | 30% |
| 64 | Total points won | 42 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Uchijima | Tour | R. Sramkova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 56% | 56% | 57% |
| Return points won | 45% | 44% | 44% |
| Service games held | 63% | 63% | 68% |
| Breaks of serve | 37% | 37% | 35% |
| Aces per service game | 0.21 | 0.39 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.35 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 5% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/13 | 2/5 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 79% | |
| Matches in the sample | 54 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Moyuka Uchijima
- 26/10/26LElise Mertens#14WTA Tokyo · R324:6 2:6
- 22/10/26LMary Stoiana#114WTA Osaka · R162:6 6:2 3:6
- 20/10/26WEna Shibahara#485WTA Osaka · R326:4 6:7 6:3
- 10/10/26LMagdalena Fręch#50WTA Wuhan · Q14:6 1:4
- 06/10/26LZhuoxuan Bai#229WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:4 3:6 3:6
- 21/09/26LLanlana Tararudee#63WTA Seoul · R324:6 7:6 2:6
- 26/08/26LLucie Havlickova#185WTA US Open · Q22:6 6:2 6:7
- 25/08/26WPolona Hercog#201WTA US Open · Q16:3 6:3
- 12/08/26LHarriet Dart#84WTA Cincinnati · Q13:6 0:6
- 04/08/26LAryna Sabalenka#2WTA Toronto · R643:6 3:6
Rebecca Sramkova
- 11/10/26WKyoka Okamura#249WTA 125 Suzhou · F6:3 6:1
- 10/10/26WRenata Zarazua#97WTA 125 Suzhou · SF7:5 6:3
- 09/10/26WAliona Falei#210WTA 125 Suzhou · QF6:1 2:6 6:2
- 07/10/26WClaire Liu#102WTA 125 Suzhou · R167:5 6:4
- 05/10/26WAlevtina Ibragimova#162WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:2 6:3
- 28/09/26LJodie Burrage#474WTA Beijing · Q14:6 4:6
- 21/09/26LMaja Chwalińska#12WTA Singapore · R324:6 2:6
- 24/08/26LAlevtina Ibragimova#162WTA US Open · Q12:6 4:6
- 13/08/26LHanne Vandewinkel#111WTA Cincinnati · Q24:6 6:3 3:6
- 11/08/26WElsa Jacquemot#130WTA Cincinnati · Q17:5 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Uchijima | R. Sramkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–1544% | 17–1553% |
| Clay | 15–1158% | 6–650% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 1–150% |
Head to head
M. Uchijima 1–0 R. Sramkova
- 06/02/26Winner: M. Uchijima4:6 7:6 6:2