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WTA ChennaiWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Uchijima vs Sramkova 2:0: result and our tips

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Moyuka UchijimaWTA #123Elo 1657hard 1646
2:0final6:3 6:2
Rebecca SramkovaWTA #146Elo 1740hard 1735

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: SramkovaLost56%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Uchijima lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Sramkova won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%); Sramkova: 5 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Match Winner: SramkovaLost61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Sramkova: 5 wins in a row; Uchijima lost 7 of the last 10 matches

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Sramkova: 16 matches in a row without a tie-break

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Moyuka Uchijima39%
Rebecca Sramkova61%

Elo: M. Uchijima 38% · R. Sramkova 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Uchijima25%
2:1 M. Uchijima17%
2:1 R. Sramkova22%
2:0 R. Sramkova37%

First set

Moyuka Uchijima44%
Rebecca Sramkova56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%62%34%
24.537%64%32%

Sample: 2,472 matches

Games handicap

R. Sramkova −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Moyuka UchijimaRebecca Sramkova
3Aces0
5Double faults2
54%First serves in62%
79%First-serve points won50%
60%Second-serve points won50%
4/6Break points converted1/7
8/9Service games held4/8
70%Service points won50%
50%Return points won30%
64Total points won42

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. UchijimaTourR. Sramkova
Service points won56%56%57%
Return points won45%44%44%
Service games held63%63%68%
Breaks of serve37%37%35%
Aces per service game0.210.39
Double faults per game0.350.26
Sets with a tie-break10%5%
Tie-breaks won6/132/5
Wins in straight sets67%79%
Matches in the sample5446

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Moyuka Uchijima

Rebecca Sramkova

Elo over the last year

Moyuka UchijimaRebecca Sramkova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. UchijimaR. Sramkova
Hard court12–1544%17–1553%
Clay15–1158%6–650%
Grass0–10%1–150%

Head to head

M. Uchijima 1–0 R. Sramkova

  • 06/02/26Winner: M. Uchijima4:6 7:6 6:2