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ATP Vienna500Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Van Assche vs Tien 0:2: result and our tips

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Luca Van AsscheATP #46Elo 1949hard 1914
0:2final3:6 1:6
Learner TienATP #18Elo 2064hard 2038

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: TienWon65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Van Assche lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Tien won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 20.5Lost61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Tien: 5 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Van Assche 11 of 20, Tien 10 of 20 (tour average 40%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Luca Van Assche30%
Learner Tien70%

Elo: L. Van Assche 33% · L. Tien 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Van Assche18%
2:1 L. Van Assche13%
2:1 L. Tien23%
2:0 L. Tien46%

First set

Luca Van Assche35%
Learner Tien65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%68%
20.561%39%60%
21.555%45%54%
22.547%53%46%
23.540%60%40%
24.538%62%38%
25.535%65%35%

Sample: 4,814 matches

Games handicap

L. Tien −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Luca Van AsscheLearner Tien
7Aces4
2Double faults2
63%First serves in67%
66%First-serve points won86%
24%Second-serve points won33%
0/5Break points converted4/6
4/8Service games held8/8
50%Service points won69%
32%Return points won50%
45Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. Van AsscheTourL. Tien
Service points won62%62%64%
Return points won41%38%39%
Service games held77%76%80%
Breaks of serve30%24%25%
Aces per service game0.340.44
Double faults per game0.310.28
Sets with a tie-break13%17%
Tie-breaks won11/2422/30
Wins in straight sets56%50%
Matches in the sample7460

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Luca Van Assche

Learner Tien

Elo over the last year

Luca Van AsscheLearner Tien

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. Van AsscheL. Tien
Hard court30–1567%29–1467%
Clay18–1064%9–469%
Grass0–10%2–250%

Head to head

They have not met yet.