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Challenger TarantoChallenger 50Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Vasami vs De Schepper 2:1: result and our tips

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Jacopo VasamiATP #385Elo 1728hard 1557
2:1final3:6 6:4 7:6(6)
Kenny De SchepperElo 1453hard 1465

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: VasamiWon70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

De Schepper lost 8 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost64%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Vasami: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Lost58%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 58%

    Vasami: 6 matches in a row under 23.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jacopo Vasami70%
Kenny De Schepper30%

Elo: J. Vasami 63% · K. De Schepper 37%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Vasami47%
2:1 J. Vasami22%
2:1 K. De Schepper13%
2:0 K. De Schepper17%

First set

Jacopo Vasami65%
Kenny De Schepper36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.538%62%35%
25.535%65%32%

Sample: 4,866 matches

Games handicap

J. Vasami −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Jacopo VasamiKenny De Schepper
6Aces8
3Double faults3
69%First serves in62%
76%First-serve points won67%
50%Second-serve points won68%
1/12Break points converted2/6
14/16Service games held14/15
68%Service points won67%
33%Return points won32%
104Total points won105

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. VasamiTourK. De Schepper
Service points won61%62%64%
Return points won36%38%35%
Service games held76%76%80%
Breaks of serve20%24%18%
Aces per service game0.410.44
Double faults per game0.320.26
Sets with a tie-break19%30%
Tie-breaks won9/132/8
Wins in straight sets67%0%
Matches in the sample3010

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jacopo Vasami

Kenny De Schepper

  • 27/09/26LFilippo Romano#240Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q14:6 4:6
  • 14/09/26LFinn BassChallenger Rennes · Q26:7 6:3 3:6
  • 13/09/26WAlberto Barroso Campos#712Challenger Rennes · Q16:7 7:6 7:5
  • 02/08/26LAlexander Donski#519Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Q16:2 4:6 6:7
  • 05/07/26LDenis Yevseyev#474Challenger Braunschweig · Q17:5 4:6 4:6
  • 28/06/26LKai Wehnelt#643Challenger Troyes · Q16:7 4:6
  • 07/06/26LMax Alcala Gurri#130Challenger Lyon · Q11:6 2:6
  • 09/03/26LPatrick Brady#677Challenger Cherbourg-en-Cotentin · Q24:6 6:3 6:7
  • 08/03/26WDavid PoljakChallenger Cherbourg-en-Cotentin · Q17:6 6:7 6:3
  • 01/02/26LLiam Gavrielides#823Challenger Koblenz · Q16:2 4:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Jacopo VasamiKenny De Schepper

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. VasamiK. De Schepper
Hard court1–325%2–529%
Clay14–1254%0–30%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also