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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Wang vs Karunaratne 2:0: result and our tips

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Xinyu WangWTA #38Elo 1776hard 1744
2:0final6:1 6:1
Adithya KarunaratneWTA #523Elo 1500hard 1500

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Xinyu Wang92%
Adithya Karunaratne8%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 X. Wang75%
2:1 X. Wang17%
2:1 A. Karunaratne4%
2:0 A. Karunaratne5%

First set

Xinyu Wang84%
Adithya Karunaratne16%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes21%
no80%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 54%market (no margin): 52%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.578%22%90%
16.567%33%82%
17.557%43%72%
18.546%54%63%
19.538%62%55%
20.531%69%49%
21.527%73%44%

Sample: 830 matches

Games handicap

X. Wang −6.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes15%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 18.5in · 14 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Xinyu WangAdithya Karunaratne
7Aces0
2Double faults2
69%First serves in67%
89%First-serve points won50%
42%Second-serve points won40%
5/10Break points converted0/1
7/7Service games held2/7
74%Service points won45%
55%Return points won26%
55Total points won31

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

X. WangTourA. Karunaratne
Service points won58%56%—
Return points won42%44%—
Service games held69%63%—
Breaks of serve32%37%—
Aces per service game0.29—
Double faults per game0.30—
Sets with a tie-break7%—
Tie-breaks won1/8—
Wins in straight sets60%—
Matches in the sample50—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Xinyu Wang

Adithya Karunaratne

No matches on record.

Elo over the last year

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

X. WangA. Karunaratne
Hard court17–1652%0–0
Clay5–645%0–0
Grass3–350%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.