Ymer vs Zhou 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Ymer lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Zhou won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: ZhouWon69%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 69%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Ymer lost 8 of the last 10 matches
- Total Games: Over 20.5Won61%
Where the number comes from: market alone 57% → with the players' profiles 61%
Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Ymer 13 of 20, Zhou 14 of 20 (tour average 54%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 34% → with the players' profiles 40%
A tie-break in recent matches: Ymer 11 of 20, Zhou 10 of 20 (tour average 32%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: E. Ymer 39% · Y. Zhou 61%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 69% | 31% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 49% | 51% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 35% | 65% | 32% |
Sample: 4,917 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 22.0in · 30 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Elias Ymer | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Aces | 11 |
| 2 | Double faults | 4 |
| 66% | First serves in | 69% |
| 78% | First-serve points won | 72% |
| 44% | Second-serve points won | 48% |
| 3/10 | Break points converted | 2/7 |
| 13/15 | Service games held | 11/14 |
| 67% | Service points won | 65% |
| 35% | Return points won | 33% |
| 105 | Total points won | 99 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| E. Ymer | Tour | Y. Zhou | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.48 | 0.58 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.26 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/28 | 15/27 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 76% | |
| Matches in the sample | 60 | 54 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Elias Ymer
- 19/10/26LJames McCabe#255Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R320:6 7:6 6:7
- 13/10/26LMattia Bellucci#66Challenger Jinan · R322:6 1:6
- 05/10/26LMattia Bellucci#66ATP Shanghai · Q16:4 5:7 6:7
- 01/10/26LFederico Cina#142Challenger Jingshan · R166:3 3:6 4:6
- 30/09/26WTerence Atmane#90Challenger Jingshan · R324:6 7:5 5:5
- 22/09/26LAlexis Galarneau#192ATP Chengdu · Q15:7 6:7
- 18/09/26LMarat Sharipov#223Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF6:7 3:6
- 16/09/26WLuca Castelnuovo#446Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R167:6 6:4
- 14/09/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R325:7 7:5 6:3
- 08/09/26LPavel Kotov#169Challenger Shanghai · R326:3 3:6 6:7
Yi Zhou
- 24/10/26LColeman Wong#87Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · SF6:7 3:6
- 23/10/26WAndre Ilagan#199Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · QF7:6 6:2
- 21/10/26WZhizhen Zhang#166Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R166:3 6:4
- 20/10/26WKoki Matsuda#463Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:1 6:3
- 11/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#28ATP Shanghai · R322:6 6:3 3:6
- 09/10/26WLorenzo Musetti#26ATP Shanghai · R647:6 3:6 7:6
- 07/10/26WMattia Bellucci#66ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 3:6 7:6
- 28/09/26LPablo Carreno Busta#74ATP Beijing · Q15:7 3:6
- 24/09/26LJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Chengdu · R324:6 3:6
- 11/09/26LIlya Ivashka#220Challenger Shanghai · QF3:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| E. Ymer | Y. Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 21–2447% | 21–1953% |
| Clay | 2–340% | 0–20% |
| Grass | 6–460% | 8–467% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.