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WTA ChennaiWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Zakharova vs Iatcenko 2:0: result and our tips

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Anastasia ZakharovaWTA #107Elo 1704hard 1687
2:0final7:6(3) 6:1
Polina IatcenkoWTA #169Elo 1664hard 1645

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zakharova: 20 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in recent matches: Zakharova 20 of 20, Iatcenko 15 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 24.5Won64%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Zakharova 18 of 20, Iatcenko 16 of 20 (tour average 68%); Zakharova: 10 matches in a row under 24.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Zakharova 14 of 20, Iatcenko 10 of 20 (tour average 44%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Anastasia Zakharova62%
Polina Iatcenko38%

Elo: A. Zakharova 56% · P. Iatcenko 44%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Zakharova38%
2:1 A. Zakharova22%
2:1 P. Iatcenko17%
2:0 P. Iatcenko24%

First set

Anastasia Zakharova57%
Polina Iatcenko43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.537%64%32%

Sample: 2,453 matches

Games handicap

A. Zakharova −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Anastasia ZakharovaPolina Iatcenko
5Aces1
2Double faults5
59%First serves in60%
74%First-serve points won65%
62%Second-serve points won32%
4/14Break points converted2/3
8/10Service games held5/9
69%Service points won52%
48%Return points won31%
81Total points won60

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. ZakharovaTourP. Iatcenko
Service points won56%56%56%
Return points won43%44%43%
Service games held64%63%62%
Breaks of serve34%37%38%
Aces per service game0.090.20
Double faults per game0.280.41
Sets with a tie-break12%10%
Tie-breaks won12/174/7
Wins in straight sets66%60%
Matches in the sample6430

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Anastasia Zakharova

Polina Iatcenko

Elo over the last year

Anastasia ZakharovaPolina Iatcenko

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. ZakharovaP. Iatcenko
Hard court25–2253%13–1252%
Clay4–736%0–20%
Grass3–350%2–167%

Head to head

They have not met yet.