Zarate vs Ribero 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 57% → with the players' profiles 60%
Ribero: 7 matches in a row under 22.5 games; Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Zarate 14 of 20, Ribero 14 of 20 (tour average 60%)
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.5Won64%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Ribero: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set
Where the number comes from: market alone 38% → with the players' profiles 41%
Ribero: 7 matches in a row under 19.5 games; Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Zarate 10 of 20, Ribero 14 of 20 (tour average 41%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: C. Zarate 51% · F. Ribero 49%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 34% | 66% | 34% |
Sample: 3,796 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 21.0out · 16 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Franco Ribero | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 0 |
| 0 | Double faults | 4 |
| 52% | First serves in | 50% |
| 77% | First-serve points won | 33% |
| 63% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 5/12 | Break points converted | 1/6 |
| 7/8 | Service games held | 3/8 |
| 70% | Service points won | 42% |
| 58% | Return points won | 30% |
| 63 | Total points won | 35 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| C. Zarate | Tour | F. Ribero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.27 | 0.30 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.27 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/8 | 9/15 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 77% | |
| Matches in the sample | 31 | 44 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Carlos Maria Zarate
- 15/10/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#111Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R162:6 2:6
- 14/10/26WGonzalo Villanueva#315Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:3 5:7 6:4
- 29/09/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#396Challenger Curitiba · R324:6 2:6
- 22/09/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#328Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R322:6 1:6
- 15/06/26LJuan Sebastian Gomez#594Challenger Asuncion 2 · R326:2 1:6 5:7
- 12/06/26LLuciano Emanuel Ambrogi#332Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · QF2:6 6:1 4:6
- 11/06/26WArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#669Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · R166:3 7:6
- 10/06/26WJuan Bautista Torres#298Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · R326:1 7:6
- 11/05/26LValerio Aboian#340Challenger Cordoba · R324:6 1:6
- 14/04/26LRyan Dickerson#697Challenger Santa Cruz · R324:6 4:6
Franco Ribero
- 19/10/26WAlex Hernandez#507Challenger Cali · Q26:2 6:2
- 18/10/26WJesse Flores#813Challenger Cali · Q16:2 6:4
- 11/10/26LMaximo Zeitune#509Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q13:6 4:6
- 04/10/26LLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#519Challenger Antofagasta · Q13:6 2:6
- 31/08/26LOleksandr Ovcharenko#616Challenger Plovdiv 3 · Q24:6 2:6
- 30/08/26WDanial SpasovChallenger Plovdiv 3 · Q16:1 6:2
- 16/08/26LGerard Campana Lee#440Challenger Sion · Q13:6 3:6
- 09/08/26LNikita Mashtakov#453Challenger Todi · Q16:7 4:6
- 04/08/26LRadu Mihai Papoe#274Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R324:6 6:1 3:6
- 03/08/26WDragos Nicolae Cazacu#715Challenger Plovdiv 2 · Q26:3 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| C. Zarate | F. Ribero | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–150% | 0–20% |
| Clay | 14–1548% | 22–2052% |
Head to head
C. Zarate 1–0 F. Ribero
- 17/11/25Winner: Carlos Maria Zarate7:6 4:6 7:6
Road through the tournament
Carlos Maria Zarate
First match in this tournament.
Franco Ribero
- 18/10/26WJesse Flores#813Challenger Cali · Q16:2 6:4
- 19/10/26WAlex Hernandez#507Challenger Cali · Q26:2 6:2