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Challenger KobeChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Zhang vs Staeheli: prediction and tips

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Zhizhen ZhangATP #156Elo 1746hard 1704
-:-
Luca StaeheliATP #442Elo 1572hard 1541

Our tips

Tip in 22h 39m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Zhizhen Zhang74%
Luca Staeheli26%

Elo: Z. Zhang 72% · L. Staeheli 28%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Z. Zhang52%
2:1 Z. Zhang22%
2:1 L. Staeheli12%
2:0 L. Staeheli15%

First set

Zhizhen Zhang68%
Luca Staeheli32%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.550%51%49%
22.543%57%42%
23.537%63%37%
24.535%65%35%

Sample: 4,213 matches

Games handicap

Z. Zhang −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Z. ZhangTourL. Staeheli
Service points won65%62%60%
Return points won34%38%42%
Service games held81%76%74%
Breaks of serve17%24%33%
Aces per service game0.710.36
Double faults per game0.180.32
Sets with a tie-break27%10%
Tie-breaks won13/300/7
Wins in straight sets67%56%
Matches in the sample4631

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Zhizhen Zhang

Luca Staeheli

  • 09/11/26LTakuya Kumasaka#668Challenger Matsuyama · Q21:6 4:6
  • 08/11/26WSaki TangeChallenger Matsuyama · Q16:4 6:3
  • 01/11/26LMasamichi Imamura#439Challenger Taipei · Q12:6 3:6
  • 30/09/26LAndres Andrade#211Challenger Columbus · R163:6 6:7
  • 29/09/26WOliver Okonkwo#964Challenger Columbus · R326:7 6:4 6:1
  • 28/09/26WAlex Rybakov#643Challenger Columbus · Q24:6 6:3 6:3
  • 27/09/26WBruno Kuzuhara#710Challenger Columbus · Q16:3 6:2
  • 20/09/26LErik Arutiunian#572Challenger San Diego 2 · Q14:6 4:6
  • 15/09/26LSebastian Gorzny#403Challenger Tiburon · R325:7 2:6
  • 14/09/26WRoger Pascual Ferra#689Challenger Tiburon · Q24:6 6:2 6:3

Elo over the last year

Zhizhen ZhangLuca Staeheli

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Z. ZhangL. Staeheli
Hard court9–1439%6–650%
Clay3–730%12–763%
Grass9–469%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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