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ATP Vienna500Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Zverev vs Landaluce 2:1: result and our tips

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Alexander ZverevATP #2Elo 2264hard 2220
2:1final7:5 3:6 7:6(11)
Martin LandaluceATP #67Elo 1827hard 1807

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won66%

Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 66%

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Zverev 17 of 20, Landaluce 18 of 20 (tour average 75%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 20.5Won45%

Where the number comes from: market alone 40% → with the players' profiles 45%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Zverev 16 of 20, Landaluce 16 of 20 (tour average 58%); Landaluce: 5 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alexander Zverev92%
Martin Landaluce8%

Elo: A. Zverev 92% · M. Landaluce 9%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Zverev75%
2:1 A. Zverev16%
2:1 M. Landaluce5%
2:0 M. Landaluce5%

First set

Alexander Zverev84%
Martin Landaluce17%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes20%
no80%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 55%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%83%
18.566%34%75%
19.555%45%67%
20.545%55%58%
21.538%62%53%
22.532%68%45%
23.525%75%39%

Sample: 1,422 matches

Games handicap

A. Zverev −5.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 37%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.0out · 34 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Alexander ZverevMartin Landaluce
8Aces6
4Double faults4
73%First serves in74%
74%First-serve points won71%
70%Second-serve points won53%
2/7Break points converted2/4
14/16Service games held15/17
73%Service points won66%
34%Return points won27%
113Total points won107

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. ZverevTourM. Landaluce
Service points won71%62%62%
Return points won37%38%37%
Service games held89%76%77%
Breaks of serve22%24%22%
Aces per service game0.710.39
Double faults per game0.160.33
Sets with a tie-break24%16%
Tie-breaks won37/5414/27
Wins in straight sets58%55%
Matches in the sample7965

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alexander Zverev

Martin Landaluce

Elo over the last year

Alexander ZverevMartin Landaluce

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. ZverevM. Landaluce
Hard court33–1175%18–2146%
Clay20–483%10–856%
Grass9–282%3–443%

Head to head

They have not met yet.