Primera LPFMatchday 3

Aldosivi 1-2 Gimnasia L.P.: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata
Referee:
Luis Lobo Medina

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost68%

under 2.5 goals in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (67% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:0Lost15%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAldosivi148933%30%Draw33%31%Gimnasia L.P.162433%39%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS40%44%O2.532%36%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gimnasia L.P.3:1AldosiviL
  2. Gimnasia L.P.0:0AldosiviD
  3. Aldosivi1:3Gimnasia L.P.L
  4. Aldosivi0:3Gimnasia L.P.L
  5. Aldosivi0:0Gimnasia L.P.D
Aldosivi's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.6over 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.1under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 6
RefereeL. Lobo Medina+0.1 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.0total 2.0Attack/defence1.1 : 1.0total 2.1
Aldosivi : Gimnasia L.P.
Most likely scores
Market0-015%1-115%0-113%1-013%2-1—2-0—0-27%Attack/defence0-012%1-114%0-112%1-013%2-17%2-07%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence0-00-015%0-012%1-11-115%1-114%0-10-113%0-112%1-01-013%1-013%2-12-1—2-17%2-02-0—2-07%0-20-27%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals86%83%83%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals68%64%64%
1X – home team avoid defeat66%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%64%64%
12 – no draw66%70%70%
Over 1.5 goals60%63%63%
Both teams to score: no60%56%56%
Under 1.5 goals40%37%37%
Both teams to score: yes40%44%44%
1 – Aldosivi win33%36% · Elo 30%36%· Elo 30%
X – draw33%30% · Elo 31%30%· Elo 31%
2 – Gimnasia L.P. win33%33% · Elo 39%33%· Elo 39%
Over 2.5 goals32%36%36%
Over 3.5 goals14%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Aldosivi attack vs Gimnasia L.P. defenceattack1408defence1481−73 pts to the attack
Gimnasia L.P. attack vs Aldosivi defenceattack1480defence1425+55 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Aldosivi: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Aldosivi score only 0.4 goals per game
  • Gimnasia L.P. matches average 10.8 corners (league 8.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Aldosivi: no win in 18 matches
  • Gimnasia L.P.: 18 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Aldosivi: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Aldosivi: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Gimnasia L.P.: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Gimnasia L.P.1254317:1719
14Aldosivi1222813:208
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P.?

Aldosivi 1-2 Gimnasia L.P. (half time 0-1).

Did the Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P. tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.