Primera LPFMatchday 4

Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Racing Club: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes, Cordoba
Referee:
Pablo Dovalo

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost60%

referee Pablo Dovalo averages 4.2 cards a match, league average 5.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost44%

referee Pablo Dovalo averages 4.2 cards a match, league average 5.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloArgentinos Jrs169444%41%Draw32%31%Racing Club165624%28%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS41%44%O2.534%38%|exp. goals 1.3 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Racing Club2:1Argentinos JrsL
  2. Argentinos Jrs4:1Racing ClubW
  3. Racing Club2:3Argentinos JrsW
  4. Racing Club3:0Argentinos JrsL
  5. Argentinos Jrs1:0Racing ClubW
Argentinos Jrs's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.3league 8.6under 8.5: 55%Expected corners: 8.3 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.1under 5.5: 60%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.lost · ended 9
RefereeP. Dovalo−0.9 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 0.8total 2.0Attack/defence1.3 : 0.9total 2.2
Argentinos Jrs : Racing Club
Most likely scores
Market1-015%1-114%0-014%0-110%2-010%2-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-113%0-011%0-19%2-010%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-014%1-11-114%1-113%0-00-014%0-011%0-10-110%0-19%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-1—2-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals85%82%82%
1X – home team avoid defeat76%75%75%
12 – no draw68%71%71%
Under 2.5 goals66%62%62%
Over 1.5 goals62%65%65%
Both teams to score: no59%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%53%53%
1 – Argentinos Jrs win44%47% · Elo 41%47%· Elo 41%
Both teams to score: yes41%44%44%
Under 1.5 goals38%35%35%
Over 2.5 goals34%38%38%
X – draw32%29% · Elo 31%29%· Elo 31%
2 – Racing Club win24%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals15%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Argentinos Jrs attack vs Racing Club defenceattack1566defence1534+32 pts to the attack
Racing Club attack vs Argentinos Jrs defenceattack1561defence1592−31 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Argentinos Jrs matches average 6.8 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Racing Club: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Racing Club score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Argentinos Jrs: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Racing Club: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Argentinos Jrs1264216:1122
13Racing Club1232713:1911
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Argentinos Jrs vs Racing Club?

Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Racing Club (half time 1-1).

Did the Argentinos Jrs vs Racing Club tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.