Primera LPFMatchday 2

Banfield 3-2 Sarmiento Junin: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Andres Gariano

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost64%

under 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost36%

under 1.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBanfield154643%43%Draw32%30%Sarmiento Junin158125%27%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%45%O2.536%39%|exp. goals 1.3 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sarmiento Junin1:0BanfieldL
  2. Banfield1:1Sarmiento JuninD
  3. Sarmiento Junin0:0BanfieldD
  4. Banfield0:0Sarmiento JuninD
  5. Sarmiento Junin0:0BanfieldD
Banfield's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss0.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.5league 8.6under 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.5 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.3under 5.5: 62%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 1
RefereeA. Gariano−0.7 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 0.9total 2.1Attack/defence1.3 : 0.9total 2.2
Banfield : Sarmiento Junin
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-014%0-013%0-110%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-014%0-011%0-110%2-09%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-014%1-014%0-00-013%0-011%0-10-110%0-110%2-02-09%2-09%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals83%81%81%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%73%73%
12 – no draw68%71%71%
Over 1.5 goals64%65%65%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals64%62%62%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%56%56%
Both teams to score: no57%55%55%
1 – Banfield win43%44% · Elo 43%44%· Elo 43%
Both teams to score: yes43%45%45%
Under 1.5 goals36%35%35%
Over 2.5 goals36%39%39%
X – draw32%29% · Elo 30%29%· Elo 30%
2 – Sarmiento Junin win25%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
Over 3.5 goals17%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Banfield attack vs Sarmiento Junin defenceattack1469defence1454+15 pts to the attack
Sarmiento Junin attack vs Banfield defenceattack1425defence1424+1 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Sarmiento Junin1161420:1719
11Banfield1234514:1813
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Banfield vs Sarmiento Junin?

Banfield 3-2 Sarmiento Junin (half time 0-0).

Did the Banfield vs Sarmiento Junin tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.