Primera LPFMatchday 11

Barracas Central 2-1 Atl. Tucuman: prediction, tips and result

Monday 16 March · 18:30

Barracas Central

0-2 0-1 2-1 1-1 2-1

2-1Full time(half time 1-0)

Atl. Tucuman

1-1 0-3 1-3 1-2 4-0

Stadium:: Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia, Barracas
Referee:: Sebastian Zunino

Our tips

Main tip

Corners: Under 8.5Won56%

5.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.7 in the visitors', league average 8.5; under 8.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 9 (49% of league matches)

For the brave

Corners: Under 7.5Won43%

under 7.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 9 (39% of league matches); 5.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.7 in the visitors', league average 8.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%O2.542%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0both scored

H2Hlast 3 meetings

29/07/202429/07/24Barracas Central0:2Atl. TucumanL
19/03/202319/03/23Atl. Tucuman1:1Barracas CentralD
24/08/202224/08/22Atl. Tucuman4:0Barracas CentralL

Barracas Central's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.7 goals per match

Cornersleague corners8.2league 8.5under 8.5: 56%Expected corners: 8.2 in this match, 8.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 4

Cardsleague cards5.5league 5.3under 5.5: 53%Expected cards: 5.5 in this match, 5.3 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 7

RefereeS. Zunino+0.7 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.4

Barracas Central : Atl. Tucuman

Most likely scores

Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-010%0-19%2-19%2-08%

Attack/defence1-11-113%1-01-012%0-00-010%0-10-19%2-12-19%2-02-08%

Attack vs defence

Barracas Central attack vs Atl. Tucuman defenceattack1481defence1417+64 pts to the attack

Atl. Tucuman attack vs Barracas Central defenceattack1536defence1459+77 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Barracas Central: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
Atl. Tucuman: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
Barracas Central: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
Atl. Tucuman: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form