Primera LPFMatchday 8

Boca Juniors 1-1 Gimnasia Mendoza: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Alberto Jose Armando, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Pablo Dovalo

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost63%

4.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.6 in the visitors', league average 5.2; our numbers: 4.9 cards against a league average of 5.2

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost47%

4.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.6 in the visitors', league average 5.2; under 4.5 cards in 3 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (42% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS37%O2.536%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.7both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners8.5league 8.1under 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.5 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.2under 5.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 7
RefereeP. Dovalo0.0 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.5 : 0.7total 2.2
Boca Juniors : Gimnasia Mendoza
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-017%2-013%0-012%1-112%2-19%0-17%
Attack/defence1-01-017%2-02-013%0-00-012%1-11-112%2-12-19%0-10-17%
Attack vs defence
Boca Juniors attack vs Gimnasia Mendoza defenceattack1598defence1452+146 pts to the attack
Gimnasia Mendoza attack vs Boca Juniors defenceattack1431defence1593−162 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Boca Juniors: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Boca Juniors concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: newly promoted
  • Boca Juniors: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Boca Juniors1256119:1321
6Gimnasia Mendoza1262415:1220
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Boca Juniors vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Boca Juniors 1-1 Gimnasia Mendoza (half time 1-1).

Did the Boca Juniors vs Gimnasia Mendoza tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.