Primera LPFMatchday 7

Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 Independiente: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Víctor Legrotaglie, Mendoza
Referee:
Sebastian Zunino

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost65%

3.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.7 in the visitors', league average 5.1; our numbers: 4.8 cards against a league average of 5.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost49%

under 4.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 6 (44% of league matches); 3.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.7 in the visitors', league average 5.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS37%O2.529%|exp. goals 0.9 : 1.0both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.2under 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.1under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 6
RefereeS. Zunino−0.5 cards vs average5 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence0.9 : 1.0total 1.9
Gimnasia Mendoza : Independiente
Most likely scores
Attack/defence0-016%0-114%1-114%1-013%0-27%1-27%
Attack/defence0-00-016%0-10-114%1-11-114%1-01-013%0-20-27%1-21-27%
Attack vs defence
Gimnasia Mendoza attack vs Independiente defenceattack1434defence1563−129 pts to the attack
Independiente attack vs Gimnasia Mendoza defenceattack1517defence1450+67 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Independiente concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Independiente: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: newly promoted
  • Independiente played 3 days ago
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Gimnasia Mendoza1262415:1220
7Independiente1253411:1218
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Independiente?

Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 Independiente (half time 1-1).

Did the Gimnasia Mendoza vs Independiente tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.