Primera LPFMatchday 7

Independiente 0-3 Gimnasia Mendoza: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Libertadores de America, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Sebastian Zunino

The match in numbers

1X2EloIndependiente164753%50%Draw28%29%Gimnasia Mendoza160919%22%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS41%44%O2.538%41%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Gimnasia Mendoza1:1IndependienteD
Independiente's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.7over 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards5.6league 5.1under 5.5: 52%Expected cards: 5.6 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 31%.won · ended 2
RefereeS. Zunino+1.2 cards vs average21 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.8total 2.3Attack/defence1.5 : 0.8total 2.3
Independiente : Gimnasia Mendoza
Most likely scores
Market1-015%1-113%0-012%2-012%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-113%0-010%2-011%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-014%1-11-113%1-113%0-00-012%0-010%2-02-012%2-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals82%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat81%80%80%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals66%68%68%
Under 2.5 goals62%59%59%
Both teams to score: no59%56%56%
1 – Independiente win53%53% · Elo 50%53%· Elo 50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%47%47%
Both teams to score: yes41%44%44%
Over 2.5 goals38%41%41%
Under 1.5 goals34%32%32%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 29%27%· Elo 29%
2 – Gimnasia Mendoza win19%20% · Elo 22%20%· Elo 22%
Over 3.5 goals18%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Independiente attack vs Gimnasia Mendoza defenceattack1545defence1453+92 pts to the attack
Gimnasia Mendoza attack vs Independiente defenceattack1466defence1542−76 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Gimnasia Mendoza: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: newly promoted
  • Independiente: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Gimnasia Mendoza1262415:1220
7Independiente1253411:1218
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Independiente vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Independiente 0-3 Gimnasia Mendoza (half time 0-1).