Primera LPFMatchday 4
Independiente 0-1 Platense: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Libertadores de America, Buenos Aires
- Referee:
- Nicolas Ramirez
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won56%
under 5.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (60% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost16%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS39%43%O2.535%39%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Platense0:1IndependienteW
- Independiente3:0PlatenseW
- Platense1:1IndependienteD
- Platense0:0IndependienteD
- Independiente1:2PlatenseL
Independiente's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.6under 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.1under 5.5: 56%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 4
RefereeN. Ramirez+0.9 cards vs average13 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.7total 2.1Attack/defence1.5 : 0.8total 2.3
Independiente : PlatenseMost likely scores
Market1-016%0-013%1-113%2-012%2-18%0-1—Attack/defence1-015%0-011%1-113%2-011%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-016%1-015%0-00-013%0-011%1-11-113%1-113%2-02-012%2-011%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 84%81% | 81% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%73% | 73% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65%61% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: no | 61%57% | 57% |
| 1 – Independiente win | 52%53% · Elo 54% | 53%· Elo 54% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 47%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39%43% | 43% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 37%34% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35%39% | 39% |
| X – draw | 29%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Platense win | 18%20% · Elo 19% | 20%· Elo 19% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Independiente attack vs Platense defenceattack1548defence1464+84 pts to the attack
Platense attack vs Independiente defenceattack1449defence1539−90 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Platense score only 0.7 goals per game
- Platense: no win in 13 matches
- Platense: only 3 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Independiente: 5 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Platense: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Independiente | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 18 |
| 13 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:18 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Independiente vs Platense?
Independiente 0-1 Platense (half time 0-0).
Did the Independiente vs Platense tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.