Primera LPFMatchday 1

Estudiantes L.P. 0-2 Independiente: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Referee:
Pablo Dovalo

The match in numbers

1X2EloEstudiantes L.P.170644%46%Draw32%30%Independiente164724%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS39%45%O2.531%39%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Independiente1:1Estudiantes L.P.D
  2. Estudiantes L.P.0:2IndependienteL
  3. Independiente1:2Estudiantes L.P.W
  4. Independiente2:1Estudiantes L.P.L
  5. Estudiantes L.P.0:1IndependienteL
Estudiantes L.P.'s record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 8.5over 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 8.5 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards5.2league 5.3under 5.5: 58%Expected cards: 5.2 in this match, 5.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.won · ended 2
RefereeP. Dovalo−0.4 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 0.8total 2.0Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.2
Estudiantes L.P. : Independiente
Most likely scores
Market1-015%0-015%1-114%0-110%2-010%2-1—Attack/defence1-013%0-011%1-114%0-110%2-09%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-013%0-00-015%0-011%1-11-114%1-114%0-10-110%0-110%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals86%81%81%
1X – home team avoid defeat76%73%73%
Under 2.5 goals69%61%61%
12 – no draw68%71%71%
Both teams to score: no61%55%55%
Over 1.5 goals59%65%65%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%56%56%
1 – Estudiantes L.P. win44%44% · Elo 46%44%· Elo 46%
Under 1.5 goals41%35%35%
Both teams to score: yes39%45%45%
X – draw32%29% · Elo 30%29%· Elo 30%
Over 2.5 goals31%39%39%
2 – Independiente win24%27% · Elo 24%27%· Elo 24%
Over 3.5 goals14%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Estudiantes L.P. attack vs Independiente defenceattack1539defence1526+13 pts to the attack
Independiente attack vs Estudiantes L.P. defenceattack1553defence1544+9 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Estudiantes L.P. matches average 6.6 cards (league 5.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Estudiantes L.P. concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Estudiantes L.P.: 77 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Independiente: 77 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Independiente1253411:1218
9Estudiantes L.P.1242615:1314
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente?

Estudiantes L.P. 0-2 Independiente (half time 0-0).