Primera LPFMatchday 14

Boca Juniors 1-1 Independiente: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Alberto Jose Armando, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Andres Merlos

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won63%

4.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.3 in the visitors', league average 5.2

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Won46%

4.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.3 in the visitors', league average 5.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%O2.537%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Boca Juniors0:1IndependienteL
  2. Boca Juniors0:0IndependienteD
  3. Independiente0:2Boca JuniorsW
  4. Boca Juniors2:2IndependienteD
  5. Independiente1:0Boca JuniorsL
Boca Juniors's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.5under 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.5 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.2under 5.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 3
RefereeA. Merlos−0.5 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.4 : 0.8total 2.2
Boca Juniors : Independiente
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-015%1-113%0-012%2-011%0-19%2-19%
Attack/defence1-01-015%1-11-113%0-00-012%2-02-011%0-10-19%2-12-19%
Attack vs defence
Boca Juniors attack vs Independiente defenceattack1606defence1551+55 pts to the attack
Independiente attack vs Boca Juniors defenceattack1538defence1607−69 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Boca Juniors: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Boca Juniors concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Boca Juniors: unbeaten in 8 matches
  • Boca Juniors: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Independiente: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Boca Juniors1256119:1321
7Independiente1253411:1218
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Boca Juniors vs Independiente?

Boca Juniors 1-1 Independiente (half time 1-1).

Did the Boca Juniors vs Independiente tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.