Primera LPFMatchday 15

Independiente 3-1 Defensa y Justicia: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Libertadores de America, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Sebastian Nicolas Martinez

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won55%

4.4 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.4 in the visitors', league average 5.2; under 5.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (56% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Won39%

under 4.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (43% of league matches); 4.4 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.4 in the visitors', league average 5.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%O2.543%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Defensa y Justicia0:0IndependienteD
  2. Independiente0:2Defensa y JusticiaL
  3. Defensa y Justicia2:1IndependienteL
  4. Independiente0:0Defensa y JusticiaD
  5. Defensa y Justicia0:1IndependienteW
Independiente's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.5over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards5.4league 5.2under 5.5: 55%Expected cards: 5.4 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 4
RefereeS. Nicolas Martinez+1.2 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.5 : 0.9total 2.4
Independiente : Defensa y Justicia
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-013%1-113%2-010%0-010%2-19%0-18%
Attack/defence1-01-013%1-11-113%2-02-010%0-00-010%2-12-19%0-10-18%
Attack vs defence
Independiente attack vs Defensa y Justicia defenceattack1537defence1440+97 pts to the attack
Defensa y Justicia attack vs Independiente defenceattack1526defence1549−23 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Defensa y Justicia1273218:1124
7Independiente1253411:1218
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia?

Independiente 3-1 Defensa y Justicia (half time 2-1).

Did the Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.