Primera LPFMatchday 11

San Lorenzo 2-5 Defensa y Justicia: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Pablo Dovalo

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 8.5Lost55%

under 8.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 9 (49% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 5.5Won57%

    under 5.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 9 (53% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS38%O2.532%|exp. goals 1.2 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Defensa y Justicia0:0San LorenzoD
  2. San Lorenzo0:0Defensa y JusticiaD
  3. Defensa y Justicia0:0San LorenzoD
  4. San Lorenzo2:1Defensa y JusticiaW
  5. San Lorenzo1:3Defensa y JusticiaL
San Lorenzo's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.3league 8.5under 8.5: 55%Expected corners: 8.3 in this match, 8.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.3under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.3 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 4
RefereeP. Dovalo+0.4 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.2 : 0.8total 2.0
San Lorenzo : Defensa y Justicia
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-016%0-014%1-113%0-111%2-010%2-18%
Attack/defence1-01-016%0-00-014%1-11-113%0-10-111%2-02-010%2-12-18%
Attack vs defence
San Lorenzo attack vs Defensa y Justicia defenceattack1451defence1455−4 pts to the attack
Defensa y Justicia attack vs San Lorenzo defenceattack1500defence1569−69 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Defensa y Justicia: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • San Lorenzo: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Defensa y Justicia: unbeaten in 9 matches
  • San Lorenzo: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Defensa y Justicia: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Defensa y Justicia1273218:1124
10San Lorenzo124265:1114
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia?

San Lorenzo 2-5 Defensa y Justicia (half time 0-2).

Did the San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 8.5. The tip lost.