Primera LPFMatchday 12

Defensa y Justicia 2-0 Union de Santa Fe: prediction, tips and result

Saturday 21 March · 20:45

Defensa y Justicia

1-1 0-0 1-1 1-1 5-2

2-0Full time(half time 0-0)

Union de Santa Fe

1-1 4-4 2-1 3-1 1-0

Stadium:: Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa
Referee:: Felipe Viola

Our tips

Main tip

Cards: Under 5.5Lost60%

under 5.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

Other tips

Corners: Under 8.5Lost58%
under 8.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (51% of league matches); 7.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.5 in the visitors', league average 8.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%O2.542%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

21/10/202521/10/25Union de Santa Fe3:0Defensa y JusticiaL
14/04/202514/04/25Defensa y Justicia0:0Union de Santa FeD
15/12/202415/12/24Defensa y Justicia0:0Union de Santa FeD
28/07/202328/07/23Union de Santa Fe2:0Defensa y JusticiaL
14/10/202214/10/22Defensa y Justicia1:0Union de Santa FeW

Defensa y Justicia's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.2 goals per match

Cornersleague corners8.1league 8.4under 8.5: 58%Expected corners: 8.1 in this match, 8.4 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 11

Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.3under 5.5: 60%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.3 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 6

RefereeF. Viola−0.2 cards vs average4 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4

Defensa y Justicia : Union de Santa Fe

Most likely scores

Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-110%0-010%2-18%2-08%

Attack/defence1-11-114%1-01-012%0-10-110%0-00-010%2-12-18%2-02-08%

Attack vs defence

Defensa y Justicia attack vs Union de Santa Fe defenceattack1524defence1500+24 pts to the attack

Union de Santa Fe attack vs Defensa y Justicia defenceattack1552defence1448+104 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Defensa y Justicia: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
Defensa y Justicia: unbeaten in 10 matches
Defensa y Justicia: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
Union de Santa Fe: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form