Primera LPFMatchday 12

Union de Santa Fe 0-2 Defensa y Justicia: prediction, tips and result

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Union de Santa Fe
4-13-21-21-20-3
0-2Full time(half time 0-2)
Defensa y Justicia
3-02-22-00-11-0
Stadium:
Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz
Referee:
Dario Herrera

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Shots on Target – Defensa y Justicia: Over 3.5Won65%

Defensa y Justicia: 5.0 shots on target a match, Union de Santa Fe's opponents had 5.6 on average, league average 3.4; our numbers for Defensa y Justicia: 4.6 shots on target against a league average of 3.4

Other tips

  • Offsides – Union de Santa Fe: Under 1.5Won58%

    Union de Santa Fe: under 1.5 offsides in 6 of their last 10 league matches, Defensa y Justicia's opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 7 of 10 (49% of league matches)

For the brave
Shots on Target – Defensa y Justicia: Over 5.5Won31%

Defensa y Justicia: over 5.5 shots on target in 4 of their last 10 league matches, Union de Santa Fe's opponents had over 5.5 in 6 of 10 (16% of league matches); 5.0 shots on target a match, Union de Santa Fe's opponents had 5.6 on average, league average 3.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloUnion de Santa Fe157540%40%Draw30%31%Defensa y Justicia161730%30%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%56%O2.544%54%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Defensa y Justicia2:0Union de Santa FeL
  2. Union de Santa Fe3:0Defensa y JusticiaW
  3. Defensa y Justicia0:0Union de Santa FeD
  4. Defensa y Justicia0:0Union de Santa FeD
  5. Union de Santa Fe2:0Defensa y JusticiaW
Union de Santa Fe's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.8over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.8league 4.8over 4.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 35%.won · ended 7
RefereeD. Herrera0.0 yellow cards vs average25 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)69%X21:0coverageleague 72% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.1total 2.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Union de Santa Fe : Defensa y Justicia
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-010%2-18%0-19%2-0—1-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%0-0—2-110%0-16%2-08%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-112%1-01-011%1-010%0-00-010%0-0—2-12-18%2-110%0-10-19%0-16%2-02-0—2-08%1-21-2—1-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals77%68%68%
Over 1.5 goals71%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%75%75%
12 – no draw70%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat60%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals56%46%46%
Both teams to score: yes50%56%56%
Both teams to score: no50%44%44%
Over 2.5 goals44%54%54%
1 – Union de Santa Fe win40%50% · Elo 40%50%· Elo 40%
X – draw30%25% · Elo 31%25%· Elo 31%
2 – Defensa y Justicia win30%25% · Elo 30%25%· Elo 30%
Under 1.5 goals29%22%22%
Over 3.5 goals23%32%32%
Attack vs defence
Union de Santa Fe attack vs Defensa y Justicia defenceattack1580defence1443+137 pts to the attack
Defensa y Justicia attack vs Union de Santa Fe defenceattack1526defence1446+80 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 64%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 36%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.576%62%
7.564%51%
8.551%39%
9.538%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Union de Santa Fewe expect 4.6, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 48%
Defensa y Justiciawe expect 4.6, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 65%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 22.3 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.553%55%
22.546%50%
23.539%45%
24.533%37%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Union de Santa Fewe expect 10.3, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Defensa y Justiciawe expect 11.6, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 48%
Referee: 23.6 fouls per match on average (20 matches in our data)+0.5 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.564%65%
3.543%41%
4.525%26%
5.513%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Union de Santa Fewe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Defensa y Justiciawe expect 1.9, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 55%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Union de Santa Fe: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Defensa y Justicia: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Union de Santa Fe: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Defensa y Justicia: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Union de Santa Fe

Defensa y Justicia

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Defensa y Justicia1273218:1124
11Union de Santa Fe1241717:2113
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Union de Santa Fe vs Defensa y Justicia?

Union de Santa Fe 0-2 Defensa y Justicia (half time 0-2).

Did the Union de Santa Fe vs Defensa y Justicia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Shots on Target – Defensa y Justicia: Over 3.5. The tip won.

See also