Primera LPFMatchday 9

Defensa y Justicia 2-0 Gimnasia Mendoza: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa
Referee:
Jorge Balino

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won67%

referee Jorge Balino averages 3.2 cards a match, league average 5.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDefensa y Justicia161748%36%Draw27%31%Gimnasia Mendoza160925%33%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%50%O2.544%45%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Gimnasia Mendoza2:1Defensa y JusticiaL
Defensa y Justicia's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.7over 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.7league 5.1under 5.5: 67%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 4
RefereeJ. Balino−1.8 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.0total 2.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Defensa y Justicia : Gimnasia Mendoza
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-012%0-010%2-09%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-09%2-09%2-19%0-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-012%1-012%0-00-010%0-09%2-02-09%2-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals77%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%73%73%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals71%70%70%
Under 2.5 goals56%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat52%55%55%
Both teams to score: no51%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes49%50%50%
1 – Defensa y Justicia win48%45% · Elo 36%45%· Elo 36%
Over 2.5 goals44%45%45%
Under 1.5 goals29%30%30%
X – draw27%28% · Elo 31%28%· Elo 31%
2 – Gimnasia Mendoza win25%28% · Elo 33%28%· Elo 33%
Over 3.5 goals23%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Defensa y Justicia attack vs Gimnasia Mendoza defenceattack1520defence1463+57 pts to the attack
Gimnasia Mendoza attack vs Defensa y Justicia defenceattack1480defence1429+51 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Gimnasia Mendoza: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: newly promoted
  • Defensa y Justicia: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Defensa y Justicia1273218:1124
6Gimnasia Mendoza1262415:1220
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Defensa y Justicia vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Defensa y Justicia 2-0 Gimnasia Mendoza (half time 1-0).

Did the Defensa y Justicia vs Gimnasia Mendoza tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.