Primera LPFMatchday 4
Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Newells Old Boys: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa
- Referee:
- Alvaro Caranza
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%50%O2.536%46%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Newells Old Boys2:3Defensa y JusticiaW
- Defensa y Justicia1:1Newells Old BoysD
- Newells Old Boys0:1Defensa y JusticiaW
- Newells Old Boys1:0Defensa y JusticiaL
- Defensa y Justicia1:0Newells Old BoysW
Defensa y Justicia's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.6over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.1under 5.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 5
RefereeA. Caranza−1.0 cards vs average4 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 0.8total 2.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.0total 2.5
Defensa y Justicia : Newells Old BoysMost likely scores
Market1-015%1-114%0-013%2-010%2-1—0-19%Attack/defence1-012%1-113%0-08%2-09%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-012%1-11-114%1-113%0-00-013%0-08%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-1—2-19%0-10-19%0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 83%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64%72% | 72% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 58%50% | 50% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 52%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Defensa y Justicia win | 48%48% · Elo 42% | 48%· Elo 42% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42%50% | 50% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 36%28% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36%46% | 46% |
| X – draw | 30%27% · Elo 31% | 27%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Newells Old Boys win | 22%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Defensa y Justicia attack vs Newells Old Boys defenceattack1524defence1420+104 pts to the attack
Newells Old Boys attack vs Defensa y Justicia defenceattack1449defence1406+43 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Defensa y Justicia concede 2.0 goals per game
- Newells Old Boys: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Newells Old Boys score a lot late on: 9 of 18 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Defensa y Justicia: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Newells Old Boys: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 24 |
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11:9 | 17 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys?
Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Newells Old Boys (half time 1-0).