Primera LPFMatchday 16

Defensa y Justicia 0-4 Boca Juniors: prediction, tips and result

Friday 24 April · 00:00

Defensa y Justicia

5-2 2-0 0-2 1-2 1-3

0-4Full time(half time 0-1)

Boca Juniors

1-0 1-1 1-0 2-0 1-1

Stadium:: Estadio Norberto Tomaghello, Gobernador Julio A. Costa
Referee:: Andres Gariano

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%O2.542%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.3not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

27/09/202527/09/25Defensa y Justicia2:1Boca JuniorsW
16/03/202516/03/25Boca Juniors4:0Defensa y JusticiaL
21/07/202421/07/24Defensa y Justicia2:2Boca JuniorsD
07/03/202307/03/23Boca Juniors0:0Defensa y JusticiaD
21/08/202221/08/22Defensa y Justicia0:1Boca JuniorsL

Defensa y Justicia's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match

Cornersleague corners8.5league 8.5under 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.5 in this match, 8.5 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 5

Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.2under 5.5: 60%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 3

RefereeA. Gariano0.0 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Attack/defence1.1 : 1.3total 2.4

Defensa y Justicia : Boca Juniors

Most likely scores

Attack/defence1-113%0-112%0-010%1-010%1-29%0-28%

Attack/defence1-11-113%0-10-112%0-00-010%1-01-010%1-21-29%0-20-28%

Attack vs defence

Defensa y Justicia attack vs Boca Juniors defenceattack1530defence1616−86 pts to the attack

Boca Juniors attack vs Defensa y Justicia defenceattack1612defence1430+182 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Boca Juniors: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
Boca Juniors concede only 0.4 goals per game
Boca Juniors: unbeaten in 10 matches
Defensa y Justicia concede a lot late on: 6 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
Defensa y Justicia: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
Boca Juniors: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form