Primera LPFMatchday 2
Independiente 1-0 Newells Old Boys: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Libertadores de America, Buenos Aires
- Referee:
- Pablo Echavarria
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS41%45%O2.540%44%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Newells Old Boys1:1IndependienteD
- Newells Old Boys2:1IndependienteL
- Independiente0:2Newells Old BoysL
- Independiente1:0Newells Old BoysW
- Newells Old Boys1:0IndependienteL
Independiente's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.6over 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.2under 5.5: 62%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 5
RefereeP. Echavarria−0.7 cards vs average13 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 0.7total 2.3Attack/defence1.6 : 0.8total 2.5
Independiente : Newells Old BoysMost likely scores
Market1-015%2-013%1-112%0-011%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-014%2-011%1-112%0-09%2-19%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-014%2-02-013%2-011%1-11-112%1-112%0-00-011%0-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 84%82% | 82% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68%70% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 59%55% | 55% |
| 1 – Independiente win | 58%56% · Elo 56% | 56%· Elo 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 42%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41%45% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40%44% | 44% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 26%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%23% | 23% |
| 2 – Newells Old Boys win | 16%19% · Elo 18% | 19%· Elo 18% |
Attack vs defence
Independiente attack vs Newells Old Boys defenceattack1558defence1420+138 pts to the attack
Newells Old Boys attack vs Independiente defenceattack1453defence1530−77 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Newells Old Boys score a lot late on: 9 of 16 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Independiente: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Newells Old Boys: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Independiente | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 18 |
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11:9 | 17 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Independiente vs Newells Old Boys?
Independiente 1-0 Newells Old Boys (half time 1-0).