Primera LPFMatchday 9

San Lorenzo 1-2 Independiente: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Pablo Dovalo

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Lost63%

under 5.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (56% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost47%

under 4.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (41% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS40%O2.532%|exp. goals 1.1 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Independiente1:1San LorenzoD
  2. San Lorenzo1:2IndependienteL
  3. Independiente0:0San LorenzoD
  4. San Lorenzo0:0IndependienteD
  5. San Lorenzo1:1IndependienteD
San Lorenzo's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.4under 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.4 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.3under 5.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.3 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 8
RefereeP. Dovalo−0.7 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.1 : 0.9total 2.0
San Lorenzo : Independiente
Most likely scores
Attack/defence0-014%1-014%1-114%0-112%2-08%2-17%
Attack/defence0-00-014%1-01-014%1-11-114%0-10-112%2-02-08%2-12-17%
Attack vs defence
San Lorenzo attack vs Independiente defenceattack1442defence1541−99 pts to the attack
Independiente attack vs San Lorenzo defenceattack1544defence1558−14 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • San Lorenzo: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • San Lorenzo: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Independiente: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Independiente1253411:1218
10San Lorenzo124265:1114
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of San Lorenzo vs Independiente?

San Lorenzo 1-2 Independiente (half time 0-1).

Did the San Lorenzo vs Independiente tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip lost.