Primera LPFMatchday 9
Independiente 1-1 San Lorenzo: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Libertadores de America, Buenos Aires
- Referee:
- Facundo Tello
Our tips
Main tip
Both Teams To Score: NoLost61%
at least one side without a goal in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost16%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS39%39%O2.532%33%|exp. goals 1.2 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- San Lorenzo1:2IndependienteW
- Independiente1:1San LorenzoD
- San Lorenzo1:2IndependienteW
- Independiente0:0San LorenzoD
- San Lorenzo0:0IndependienteD
Independiente's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.7over 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.1under 5.5: 64%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 5
RefereeF. Tello−0.6 cards vs average11 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 0.8total 2.0Attack/defence1.2 : 0.8total 2.0
Independiente : San LorenzoMost likely scores
Market1-016%0-015%1-114%0-19%2-010%2-1—Attack/defence1-016%0-014%1-113%0-110%2-010%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-016%1-016%0-00-015%0-014%1-11-114%1-113%0-10-19%0-110%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 86%86% | 86% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 77%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 69%69% | 69% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 68%67% | 67% |
| Our tip: Both teams to score: no | 61%61% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60%60% | 60% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%54% | 54% |
| 1 – Independiente win | 46%46% · Elo 49% | 46%· Elo 49% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 40%40% | 40% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39%39% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 31%31% · Elo 29% | 31%· Elo 29% |
| 2 – San Lorenzo win | 23%24% · Elo 23% | 24%· Elo 23% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14%14% | 14% |
Attack vs defence
Independiente attack vs San Lorenzo defenceattack1533defence1563−30 pts to the attack
San Lorenzo attack vs Independiente defenceattack1422defence1529−107 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- San Lorenzo: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- San Lorenzo score only 0.5 goals per game
- Independiente matches average 11.1 corners (league 8.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- San Lorenzo score a lot late on: 6 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Independiente: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- San Lorenzo: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Independiente | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 18 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5:11 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Independiente vs San Lorenzo?
Independiente 1-1 San Lorenzo (half time 1-0).
Did the Independiente vs San Lorenzo tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: No. The tip lost.