Primera LPFMatchday 6

Independiente 0-0 Ind. Rivadavia: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Libertadores de America, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Yael Falcon Perez

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won57%

under 5.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (60% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost40%

under 4.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (44% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloIndependiente164738%37%Draw32%31%Ind. Rivadavia170229%32%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%47%O2.533%42%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
  1. Ind. Rivadavia3:2IndependienteL
  2. Independiente1:0Ind. RivadaviaW
  3. Ind. Rivadavia1:0IndependienteL
Independiente's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses2.3 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.7over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 14
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.1under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 5
RefereeY. Falcon Perez+0.7 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 0.9total 2.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
Independiente : Ind. Rivadavia
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-014%1-013%0-111%2-08%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-010%1-013%0-19%2-09%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-00-014%0-010%1-01-013%1-013%0-10-111%0-19%2-02-08%2-09%2-12-1—2-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals85%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%75%75%
Under 2.5 goals67%58%58%
12 – no draw67%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat61%53%53%
Over 1.5 goals61%69%69%
Both teams to score: no58%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes42%47%47%
Under 1.5 goals39%31%31%
1 – Independiente win38%47% · Elo 37%47%· Elo 37%
Over 2.5 goals33%42%42%
X – draw32%28% · Elo 31%28%· Elo 31%
2 – Ind. Rivadavia win29%25% · Elo 32%25%· Elo 32%
Over 3.5 goals15%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Independiente attack vs Ind. Rivadavia defenceattack1555defence1489+66 pts to the attack
Ind. Rivadavia attack vs Independiente defenceattack1547defence1536+11 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7IndependienteClausura, Group A1253411:1218
8Ind. RivadaviaClausura, Group B1253415:1918
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Independiente vs Ind. Rivadavia?

Independiente 0-0 Ind. Rivadavia (half time 0-0).

Did the Independiente vs Ind. Rivadavia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.