Primera LPFMatchday 3
Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Independiente: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires
- Referee:
- Leandro Rey Hilfer
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS41%46%O2.534%39%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Independiente1:1Velez SarsfieldD
- Velez Sarsfield2:1IndependienteW
- Independiente3:0Velez SarsfieldL
- Independiente1:1Velez SarsfieldD
- Velez Sarsfield0:0IndependienteD
Velez Sarsfield's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.6under 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.2under 5.5: 60%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 5
RefereeL. Rey Hilfer−0.1 cards vs average15 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 0.9total 2.1Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.3
Velez Sarsfield : IndependienteMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-014%0-014%0-110%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-114%1-013%0-011%0-110%2-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-014%1-013%0-00-014%0-011%0-10-110%0-110%2-02-09%2-08%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 85%81% | 81% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 68%71% | 71% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66%61% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: no | 59%54% | 54% |
| 1 – Velez Sarsfield win | 41%42% · Elo 41% | 42%· Elo 41% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41%46% | 46% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38%34% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34%39% | 39% |
| X – draw | 32%29% · Elo 31% | 29%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Independiente win | 27%29% · Elo 28% | 29%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Velez Sarsfield attack vs Independiente defenceattack1534defence1537−3 pts to the attack
Independiente attack vs Velez Sarsfield defenceattack1554defence1520+34 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 7 | Independiente | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente?
Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Independiente (half time 0-0).