Primera LPFMatchday 5
Lanus 1-3 Independiente: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, Buenos Aires
- Referee:
- Sebastian Nicolas Martinez
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost68%
under 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost16%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS39%45%O2.532%38%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Independiente2:0LanusL
- Independiente0:2LanusW
- Lanus1:1IndependienteD
- Lanus0:2IndependienteL
- Independiente1:1LanusD
Lanus's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.5league 8.7under 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.5 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 15
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.1under 5.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 6
RefereeS. Nicolas Martinez+0.6 cards vs average14 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 0.8total 2.0Attack/defence1.2 : 1.0total 2.2
Lanus : IndependienteMost likely scores
Market1-016%0-015%1-114%0-19%2-010%2-1—Attack/defence1-013%0-011%1-114%0-110%2-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-016%1-013%0-00-015%0-011%1-11-114%1-114%0-10-19%0-110%2-02-010%2-08%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 86%82% | 82% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 69%70% | 70% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 68%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: no | 61%55% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60%65% | 65% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 53%59% | 59% |
| 1 – Lanus win | 47%41% · Elo 35% | 41%· Elo 35% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 40%35% | 35% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39%45% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32%38% | 38% |
| X – draw | 31%30% · Elo 31% | 30%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Independiente win | 22%29% · Elo 34% | 29%· Elo 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Lanus attack vs Independiente defenceattack1528defence1539−11 pts to the attack
Independiente attack vs Lanus defenceattack1543defence1519+24 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lanus: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Lanus concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Lanus score only 0.6 goals per game
- Lanus: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Independiente: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lanus | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:9 | 20 |
| 7 | Independiente | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lanus vs Independiente?
Lanus 1-3 Independiente (half time 0-1).
Did the Lanus vs Independiente tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.